Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern

Africa Eastern and Southern: Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years was 8.62 per 1,000 in 2024. ▼ Falling

Latest (2024)
8.62 per 1,000
Change on year
down 2.3%
Rank
3rd
of 47 groups
All-time high
27.4 per 1,000
in 1994
All-time low
8.62 per 1,000
in 2024
Years of data
35
1990–2024

Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern, 1990–2024

101520251990200720241990: 19.3 per 1,0001991: 19.2 per 1,0001992: 20.1 per 1,0001993: 20.7 per 1,0001994: 27.4 per 1,0001995: 18.5 per 1,0001996: 19.1 per 1,0001997: 18.5 per 1,0001998: 19.6 per 1,0001999: 17.8 per 1,0002000: 16.5 per 1,0002001: 16.1 per 1,0002002: 15.4 per 1,0002003: 14.9 per 1,0002004: 14.6 per 1,0002005: 13.8 per 1,0002006: 13.1 per 1,0002007: 12.5 per 1,0002008: 12.2 per 1,0002009: 11.7 per 1,0002010: 11.3 per 1,0002011: 11.3 per 1,0002012: 10.6 per 1,0002013: 10.2 per 1,0002014: 10.2 per 1,0002015: 10 per 1,0002016: 9.9 per 1,0002017: 9.8 per 1,0002018: 9.2 per 1,0002019: 8.9 per 1,0002020: 8.8 per 1,0002021: 9 per 1,0002022: 8.9 per 1,0002023: 8.8 per 1,0002024: 8.6 per 1,000

Source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF). Measured in per 1,000.

Analysis

In 2024, probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern stood at 8.62 per 1,000. That is the lowest value across all 35 years on record.

The figure is down 2.3% on the previous year and down 15.5% over ten years.

Over the whole period, probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern peaked at 27.4 per 1,000 in 1994 and was at its lowest, 8.62 per 1,000, in 2024.

That places Africa Eastern and Southern 3rd out of 47 groups with data for 2024, putting it in the top 10%.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 35 years of available data.

Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern, year by year

Annual values for Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years (per 1,000) in Africa Eastern and Southern, 1990 to 2024.
Year per 1,000 Change
1990 19.29 per 1,000
1991 19.15 per 1,000 -0.7%
1992 20.15 per 1,000 +5.2%
1993 20.66 per 1,000 +2.5%
1994 27.4 per 1,000 +32.6%
1995 18.5 per 1,000 -32.5%
1996 19.06 per 1,000 +3.1%
1997 18.51 per 1,000 -2.9%
1998 19.62 per 1,000 +6.0%
1999 17.83 per 1,000 -9.1%
2000 16.46 per 1,000 -7.7%
2001 16.12 per 1,000 -2.1%
2002 15.42 per 1,000 -4.3%
2003 14.87 per 1,000 -3.6%
2004 14.55 per 1,000 -2.1%
2005 13.81 per 1,000 -5.1%
2006 13.07 per 1,000 -5.3%
2007 12.52 per 1,000 -4.2%
2008 12.17 per 1,000 -2.8%
2009 11.66 per 1,000 -4.2%
2010 11.25 per 1,000 -3.5%
2011 11.29 per 1,000 +0.4%
2012 10.61 per 1,000 -6.0%
2013 10.23 per 1,000 -3.6%
2014 10.2 per 1,000 -0.4%
2015 10.04 per 1,000 -1.5%
2016 9.91 per 1,000 -1.3%
2017 9.76 per 1,000 -1.5%
2018 9.21 per 1,000 -5.7%
2019 8.91 per 1,000 -3.2%
2020 8.78 per 1,000 -1.5%
2021 8.97 per 1,000 +2.1%
2022 8.9 per 1,000 -0.7%
2023 8.82 per 1,000 -0.9%
2024 8.62 per 1,000 -2.3%

Biggest year-on-year movements

Years where Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.

YearChange FromTo
1994 +32.6% 20.66 per 1,000 27.4 per 1,000
1995 -32.5% 27.4 per 1,000 18.5 per 1,000

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1990s 20.02 per 1,000 17.83 per 1,000 27.4 per 1,000 10
2000s 14.07 per 1,000 11.66 per 1,000 16.46 per 1,000 10
2010s 10.14 per 1,000 8.91 per 1,000 11.29 per 1,000 10
2020s 8.82 per 1,000 8.62 per 1,000 8.97 per 1,000 5

Countries ranked near Africa Eastern and Southern

  1. 1 Palestine, State of 36.2 per 1,000 compare
  2. 2 Somalia 16.9 per 1,000 compare
  3. 3 Sudan 15.4 per 1,000 compare
  4. 4 South Sudan 15.3 per 1,000 compare
  5. 5 Sierra Leone 14.3 per 1,000 compare
  6. 6 Congo, Democratic Republic of the 13.9 per 1,000 compare
  7. 6 Timor-Leste 13.9 per 1,000 compare

See the full ranking of 244 places →

More education data for Africa Eastern and Southern

All data for Africa Eastern and Southern →

Frequently asked questions

What is probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern?
Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern was 8.62 per 1,000 in 2024, according to UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF).
What is the highest probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years recorded in Africa Eastern and Southern?
The highest recorded value was 27.4 per 1,000 in 1994.
What is the lowest probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years recorded in Africa Eastern and Southern?
The lowest recorded value was 8.62 per 1,000 in 2024.
How does Africa Eastern and Southern rank for probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years?
Africa Eastern and Southern ranks 3rd out of 47 groups with data for 2024.
Is probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years rising or falling in Africa Eastern and Southern?
Over the last ten years it is down 15.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Africa Eastern and Southern data come from?
The figures come from UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF), published as part of Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years (per 1,000). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern. Statizoid, drawing on UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF). Retrieved 13 September 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/probability-of-dying-among-adolescents-ages-15-19-years-per-1-000/africa-eastern-and-southern/

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About this data

Indicator
Probability of dying among adolescents ages 15-19 years (per 1,000)
Unit
per 1,000
Source
UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF)
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (World Bank Open Data)
Coverage
244 places, 8,540 data points, 1990–2024
Last refreshed

Probability of dying between age 15-19 years of age expressed per 1,000 adolescents age 15, if subject to age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.