Probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years in Sub-Saharan Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa: Probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years was 8.6 per 1,000 in 2024. ▼ Falling

Latest (2024)
8.6 per 1,000
Change on year
down 3.4%
Rank
3rd
of 47 groups
All-time high
25.5 per 1,000
in 1992
All-time low
8.6 per 1,000
in 2024
Years of data
35
1990–2024

Probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990–2024

101520251990200720241990: 25.3 per 1,0001991: 25.3 per 1,0001992: 25.5 per 1,0001993: 25 per 1,0001994: 24.8 per 1,0001995: 22.4 per 1,0001996: 22.6 per 1,0001997: 21.9 per 1,0001998: 22.3 per 1,0001999: 20 per 1,0002000: 19.3 per 1,0002001: 18.9 per 1,0002002: 17.9 per 1,0002003: 17.2 per 1,0002004: 16.7 per 1,0002005: 15.5 per 1,0002006: 14.7 per 1,0002007: 14 per 1,0002008: 13.4 per 1,0002009: 13.6 per 1,0002010: 12.5 per 1,0002011: 12.7 per 1,0002012: 11.5 per 1,0002013: 11 per 1,0002014: 11 per 1,0002015: 10.8 per 1,0002016: 10.6 per 1,0002017: 10.5 per 1,0002018: 9.8 per 1,0002019: 9.6 per 1,0002020: 9.3 per 1,0002021: 9.6 per 1,0002022: 10 per 1,0002023: 8.9 per 1,0002024: 8.6 per 1,000

Source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF). Measured in per 1,000.

Analysis

The most recent figure for probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years in Sub-Saharan Africa is 8.6 per 1,000, measured in 2024. That is the lowest value across all 35 years on record.

That represents a change of down 3.4% on the previous year and down 21.8% over ten years.

Over the whole period, probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years in Sub-Saharan Africa peaked at 25.5 per 1,000 in 1992 and was at its lowest, 8.6 per 1,000, in 2024.

Sub-Saharan Africa ranks 3rd of 47 groups on this measure, in the top 10%.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 35 years of available data.

Probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years in Sub-Saharan Africa, year by year

Annual values for Probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years (per 1,000) in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990 to 2024.
Year per 1,000 Change
1990 25.3 per 1,000
1991 25.3 per 1,000 +0.0%
1992 25.5 per 1,000 +0.8%
1993 25 per 1,000 -2.0%
1994 24.8 per 1,000 -0.8%
1995 22.4 per 1,000 -9.7%
1996 22.6 per 1,000 +0.9%
1997 21.9 per 1,000 -3.1%
1998 22.3 per 1,000 +1.8%
1999 20 per 1,000 -10.3%
2000 19.3 per 1,000 -3.5%
2001 18.9 per 1,000 -2.1%
2002 17.9 per 1,000 -5.3%
2003 17.2 per 1,000 -3.9%
2004 16.7 per 1,000 -2.9%
2005 15.5 per 1,000 -7.2%
2006 14.7 per 1,000 -5.2%
2007 14 per 1,000 -4.8%
2008 13.4 per 1,000 -4.3%
2009 13.6 per 1,000 +1.5%
2010 12.5 per 1,000 -8.1%
2011 12.7 per 1,000 +1.6%
2012 11.5 per 1,000 -9.4%
2013 11 per 1,000 -4.3%
2014 11 per 1,000 +0.0%
2015 10.8 per 1,000 -1.8%
2016 10.6 per 1,000 -1.9%
2017 10.5 per 1,000 -0.9%
2018 9.8 per 1,000 -6.7%
2019 9.6 per 1,000 -2.0%
2020 9.3 per 1,000 -3.1%
2021 9.6 per 1,000 +3.2%
2022 10 per 1,000 +4.2%
2023 8.9 per 1,000 -11.0%
2024 8.6 per 1,000 -3.4%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1990s 23.51 per 1,000 20 per 1,000 25.5 per 1,000 10
2000s 16.12 per 1,000 13.4 per 1,000 19.3 per 1,000 10
2010s 11 per 1,000 9.6 per 1,000 12.7 per 1,000 10
2020s 9.28 per 1,000 8.6 per 1,000 10 per 1,000 5

Countries ranked near Sub-Saharan Africa

  1. 1 Palestine, State of 28.1 per 1,000 compare
  2. 2 Niger 17.8 per 1,000 compare
  3. 3 Somalia 14.1 per 1,000 compare
  4. 4 Sierra Leone 13.7 per 1,000 compare
  5. 5 Nigeria 13.5 per 1,000 compare
  6. 5 South Sudan 13.5 per 1,000 compare

See the full ranking of 244 places →

More education data for Sub-Saharan Africa

All data for Sub-Saharan Africa →

Frequently asked questions

What is probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years in Sub-Saharan Africa?
Probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years in Sub-Saharan Africa was 8.6 per 1,000 in 2024, according to UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF).
What is the highest probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa?
The highest recorded value was 25.5 per 1,000 in 1992.
What is the lowest probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa?
The lowest recorded value was 8.6 per 1,000 in 2024.
How does Sub-Saharan Africa rank for probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years?
Sub-Saharan Africa ranks 3rd out of 47 groups with data for 2024.
Is probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years rising or falling in Sub-Saharan Africa?
Over the last ten years it is down 21.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Sub-Saharan Africa data come from?
The figures come from UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF), published as part of Probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years (per 1,000). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years in Sub-Saharan Africa. Statizoid, drawing on UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF). Retrieved 10 September 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/probability-of-dying-among-children-ages-5-9-years-per-1-000/sub-saharan-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Probability of dying among children ages 5-9 years (per 1,000)
Unit
per 1,000
Source
UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF)
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (World Bank Open Data)
Coverage
244 places, 8,540 data points, 1990–2024
Last refreshed

Probability of dying between age 5-9 years of age expressed per 1,000 children aged 5, if subject to age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.