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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in Africa, fragile states

Africa, fragile states: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education was 27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040. ▼ Falling

Latest (2040)
27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
Rank
11th
of 48 regions
All-time high
61.48 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2000
All-time low
27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2040
Years of data
31
2000–2040

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in Africa, fragile states, 2000–2040

02040602000202020402000: 61.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2001: 60.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2002: 60.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2003: 59.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2004: 58.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2005: 58 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2006: 57.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2007: 56.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2008: 55.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2009: 54.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2010: 54.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2011: 53.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2012: 52.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2013: 51.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2014: 50.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2015: 49.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2016: 48.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2017: 47.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2018: 46 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2019: 44.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2020: 43.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2021: 42.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2022: 41.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2023: 40.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2024: 39.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2025: 38.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2026: 37.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2027: 37 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2028: 36.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2030: 34.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2040: 27.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Percentage of population aged 15 years or over.

Analysis

In 2040, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in Africa, fragile states stood at 27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over. That is the lowest value across all 31 years on record.

That represents a change of down 19.9% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in Africa, fragile states peaked at 61.48 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000 and was at its lowest, 27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over, in 2040.

That places Africa, fragile states 11th out of 48 regions with data for 2040, putting it in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 31 years of available data.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in Africa, fragile states, year by year

Year Percentage of population aged 15 years or over Change
2000 61.48 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over —
2001 60.79 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.1%
2002 60.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.1%
2003 59.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.2%
2004 58.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.2%
2005 57.97 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.2%
2006 57.23 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.3%
2007 56.48 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.3%
2008 55.72 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.3%
2009 54.95 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.4%
2010 54.16 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.4%
2011 53.24 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.7%
2012 52.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.8%
2013 51.36 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.8%
2014 50.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.9%
2015 49.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.2%
2016 48.21 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.2%
2017 47.12 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.3%
2018 46.03 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.3%
2019 44.94 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.4%
2020 43.86 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.4%
2021 42.78 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.5%
2022 41.71 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.5%
2023 40.65 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.5%
2024 39.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.6%
2025 38.56 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.6%
2026 37.77 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.1%
2027 36.98 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.1%
2028 36.19 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.1%
2030 34.64 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.3%
2040 27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -19.9%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 58.28 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 54.95 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 61.48 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2010s 49.71 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 44.94 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 54.16 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2020s 39.79 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 36.19 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 43.86 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 9
2030s 34.64 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 34.64 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 34.64 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1
2040s 27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1

Countries ranked near Africa, fragile states

  1. 8 Afghanistan 43.49 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  2. 9 South Sudan 43.16 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  3. 10 Guinea 42.51 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  4. 11 Somalia 42.31 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  5. 12 Rwanda 41.97 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  6. 13 Djibouti 40.78 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  7. 14 Sierra Leone 39.35 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare

See the full ranking of 235 places →

More education data for Africa, fragile states

All data for Africa, fragile states →

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in Africa, fragile states?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in Africa, fragile states was 27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in Africa, fragile states?
The highest recorded value was 61.48 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in Africa, fragile states?
The lowest recorded value was 27.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040.
How does Africa, fragile states rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education?
Africa, fragile states ranks 11th out of 48 regions with data for 2040.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education rising or falling in Africa, fragile states?
Over the last ten years it is down 19.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Africa, fragile states data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in Africa, fragile states. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 28 August 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-38-projected-education-profiles-population-with/africa-fragile-states/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.