Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in China

China: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education was 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040. ▼ Falling

Latest (2040)
3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
World rank
94th
of 160 countries
All-time high
17.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2000
All-time low
3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2040
Years of data
32
2000–2040

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in China, 2000–2040

510152000202020402000: 17.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2001: 16.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2002: 15.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2003: 15.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2004: 14.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2005: 14.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2006: 13.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2007: 13.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2008: 12.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2009: 12.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2010: 11.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2011: 11.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2012: 10.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2013: 10.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2014: 10.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2015: 9.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2016: 9.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2017: 9.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2018: 8.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2019: 8.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2020: 8.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2021: 7.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2022: 7.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2023: 7.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2024: 7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2025: 6.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2026: 6.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2027: 6.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2028: 6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2029: 5.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2030: 5.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2040: 3.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Percentage of population aged 15 years or over.

Analysis

The most recent figure for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in China is 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over, measured in 2040. That is the lowest value across all 32 years on record.

That represents a change of down 33.9% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in China peaked at 17.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000 and was at its lowest, 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over, in 2040.

China ranks 94th of 160 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 32 years of available data.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in China, year by year

Annual values for Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario) in China, 2000 to 2040.
Year Percentage of population aged 15 years or over Change
2000 17.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over —
2001 16.55 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.9%
2002 15.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.9%
2003 15.27 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.0%
2004 14.66 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.0%
2005 14.06 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.1%
2006 13.56 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2007 13.07 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2008 12.59 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2009 12.13 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.7%
2010 11.68 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.7%
2011 11.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2012 10.93 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2013 10.57 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2014 10.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2015 9.88 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2016 9.53 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2017 9.18 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2018 8.85 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2019 8.53 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2020 8.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.7%
2021 7.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.8%
2022 7.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.9%
2023 7.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.9%
2024 7.02 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.9%
2025 6.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.9%
2026 6.48 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.9%
2027 6.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.0%
2028 5.97 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.0%
2029 5.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.0%
2030 5.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.1%
2040 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -33.9%

Biggest year-on-year movements

Years where Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in China changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.

YearChange FromTo
2040 -33.9% 5.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 14.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 12.13 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 17.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2010s 10.07 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 8.53 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 11.68 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2020s 6.92 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 5.73 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 8.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2030s 5.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 5.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 5.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1
2040s 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1

Countries ranked near China

  1. 91 Seychelles 4.11 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  2. 92 North Macedonia 3.99 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  3. 93 Malaysia 3.68 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  4. 95 Lebanon 3.56 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  5. 96 Chile 3.49 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  6. 97 Thailand 3.48 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare

See the full ranking of 235 places →

More education data for China

All data for China →

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in China?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in China was 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in China?
The highest recorded value was 17.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in China?
The lowest recorded value was 3.63 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040.
How does China rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education?
China ranks 94th out of 160 countries with data for 2040.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education rising or falling in China?
Over the last ten years it is down 33.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this China data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in China. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 03 October 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-38-projected-education-profiles-population-with/china/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.