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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in East Africa (African Union)

East Africa (African Union): Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education was 28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040. ▼ Falling

Latest (2040)
28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
Rank
8th
of 48 regions
All-time high
65.25 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2000
All-time low
28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2040
Years of data
30
2000–2040

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in East Africa (African Union), 2000–2040

02040602000202020402000: 65.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2001: 64.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2002: 63.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2003: 63.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2004: 62.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2005: 61.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2006: 61.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2007: 60.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2008: 60 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2009: 59.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2010: 58.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2012: 56.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2013: 55.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2014: 53.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2015: 53 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2016: 51.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2017: 50.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2018: 49.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2019: 48.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2020: 46.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2021: 45.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2022: 44.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2023: 43.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2024: 42 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2025: 40.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2026: 39.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2027: 39.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2028: 38.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2030: 36.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2040: 28.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Percentage of population aged 15 years or over.

Analysis

In 2040, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in East Africa (African Union) stood at 28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.

Compared with earlier readings it is down 21.2% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in East Africa (African Union) peaked at 65.25 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000 and was at its lowest, 28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over, in 2040.

That places East Africa (African Union) 8th out of 48 regions with data for 2040, putting it in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 30 years of available data.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in East Africa (African Union), year by year

Year Percentage of population aged 15 years or over Change
2000 65.25 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over —
2001 64.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.0%
2002 63.94 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.0%
2003 63.26 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.1%
2004 62.58 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.1%
2005 61.89 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.1%
2006 61.27 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.0%
2007 60.64 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.0%
2008 59.99 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.1%
2009 59.33 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.1%
2010 58.66 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.1%
2012 56.33 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.0%
2013 55.14 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.1%
2014 53.95 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.2%
2015 52.99 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -1.8%
2016 51.76 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.3%
2017 50.53 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.4%
2018 49.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.4%
2019 48.06 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.5%
2020 46.82 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.6%
2021 45.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.6%
2022 44.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.7%
2023 43.19 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.7%
2024 42 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.8%
2025 40.81 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.8%
2026 39.93 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.2%
2027 39.06 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.2%
2028 38.19 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.2%
2030 36.46 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.5%
2040 28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -21.2%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 62.28 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 59.33 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 65.25 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2010s 52.97 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 48.06 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 58.66 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 9
2020s 42.22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 38.19 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 46.82 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 9
2030s 36.46 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 36.46 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 36.46 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1
2040s 28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1

Countries ranked near East Africa (African Union)

  1. 5 Mozambique 45.56 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  2. 6 Chad 44.81 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  3. 7 Benin 43.68 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  4. 7 Cabo Verde 28.21 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  5. 8 Afghanistan 43.49 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  6. 9 South Sudan 43.16 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  7. 10 Guinea 42.51 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  8. 11 Somalia 42.31 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare

See the full ranking of 235 places →

More education data for East Africa (African Union)

All data for East Africa (African Union) →

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in East Africa (African Union)?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in East Africa (African Union) was 28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in East Africa (African Union)?
The highest recorded value was 65.25 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in East Africa (African Union)?
The lowest recorded value was 28.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040.
How does East Africa (African Union) rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education?
East Africa (African Union) ranks 8th out of 48 regions with data for 2040.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education rising or falling in East Africa (African Union)?
Over the last ten years it is down 21.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this East Africa (African Union) data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in East Africa (African Union). Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 31 August 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-38-projected-education-profiles-population-with/east-africa-african-union/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.