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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank)

Upper-middle income countries (World Bank): Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education was 4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040. ▼ Falling

Latest (2040)
4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
Rank
36th
of 48 regions
All-time high
18.06 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2000
All-time low
4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2040
Years of data
31
2000–2040

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank), 2000–2040

51015202000202020402000: 18.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2001: 17.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2002: 16.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2003: 16.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2004: 15.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2005: 15.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2006: 14.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2007: 14.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2008: 13.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2009: 13.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2010: 13.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2011: 12.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2012: 12.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2013: 11.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2014: 11.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2015: 11.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2016: 10.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2017: 10.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2018: 10.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2019: 9.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2020: 9.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2021: 9.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2022: 8.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2023: 8.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2024: 8.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2025: 8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2026: 7.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2027: 7.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2028: 7.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2030: 6.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2040: 4.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Percentage of population aged 15 years or over.

Analysis

In 2040, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank) stood at 4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over. That is the lowest value across all 31 years on record.

The figure is down 29.7% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank) peaked at 18.06 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000 and was at its lowest, 4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over, in 2040.

That places Upper-middle income countries (World Bank) 36th out of 48 regions with data for 2040, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 31 years of available data.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank), year by year

Year Percentage of population aged 15 years or over Change
2000 18.06 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over —
2001 17.48 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.2%
2002 16.91 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2003 16.35 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2004 15.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2005 15.27 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.4%
2006 14.81 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.0%
2007 14.36 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.0%
2008 13.93 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.0%
2009 13.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.1%
2010 13.08 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.1%
2011 12.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.0%
2012 12.31 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.0%
2013 11.94 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.0%
2014 11.57 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.1%
2015 11.25 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.7%
2016 10.89 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.2%
2017 10.54 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.2%
2018 10.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.2%
2019 9.87 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2020 9.55 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2021 9.21 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.5%
2022 8.88 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2023 8.56 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2024 8.25 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2025 7.95 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.6%
2026 7.68 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.4%
2027 7.42 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.4%
2028 7.16 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.5%
2030 6.67 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -6.8%
2040 4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -29.7%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 15.65 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 13.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 18.06 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2010s 11.44 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 9.87 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 13.08 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2020s 8.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 7.16 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 9.55 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 9
2030s 6.67 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 6.67 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 6.67 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1
2040s 4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1

Countries ranked near Upper-middle income countries (World Bank)

  1. 33 Morocco 22.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  2. 34 Uganda 22.19 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  3. 35 Myanmar 21.03 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  4. 36 Nepal 20.23 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  5. 37 Cambodia 19.92 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  6. 38 Sao Tome and Principe 19.53 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  7. 39 Kuwait 19.16 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare

See the full ranking of 235 places →

More education data for Upper-middle income countries (World Bank)

All data for Upper-middle income countries (World Bank) →

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank)?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank) was 4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank)?
The highest recorded value was 18.06 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank)?
The lowest recorded value was 4.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040.
How does Upper-middle income countries (World Bank) rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education?
Upper-middle income countries (World Bank) ranks 36th out of 48 regions with data for 2040.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education rising or falling in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank)?
Over the last ten years it is down 29.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Upper-middle income countries (World Bank) data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in Upper-middle income countries (World Bank). Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 27 August 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-38-projected-education-profiles-population-with/upper-middle-income-countries-world-bank/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.