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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Fragile states

Fragile states: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth was 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040. ▼ Falling

Latest (2040)
18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Rank
26th
of 48 regions
All-time high
41.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
in 2015
All-time low
18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
in 2040
Years of data
31
2000–2040

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Fragile states, 2000–2040

0102030402000202020402000: 37.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2001: 38.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2002: 38.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2003: 38.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2004: 39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2005: 39.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2006: 39.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2007: 39.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2008: 39.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2009: 39.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2010: 40.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2011: 40.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2012: 40.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2013: 40.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2014: 40.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2015: 41.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2016: 40.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2017: 39.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2018: 38.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2019: 36.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2020: 34.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2021: 34 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2022: 33.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2023: 33.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2024: 32.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2025: 31.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2026: 30.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2027: 30.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2028: 29.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2030: 27.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2040: 18.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.

Analysis

The most recent figure for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Fragile states is 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, measured in 2040. That is the lowest value across all 31 years on record.

Compared with earlier readings it is down 32.0% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Fragile states peaked at 41.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2015 and was at its lowest, 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, in 2040.

That places Fragile states 26th out of 48 regions with data for 2040, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 31 years of available data.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Fragile states, year by year

Year Percentage of population aged 15-29 years Change
2000 37.93 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years —
2001 38.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.7%
2002 38.47 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.7%
2003 38.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.7%
2004 38.97 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.6%
2005 39.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.6%
2006 39.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.5%
2007 39.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.5%
2008 39.76 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.5%
2009 39.94 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.4%
2010 40.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.4%
2011 40.28 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.4%
2012 40.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.4%
2013 40.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.4%
2014 40.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.4%
2015 41.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.6%
2016 40.54 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.2%
2017 39.63 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -2.3%
2018 38.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -3.4%
2019 36.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -4.8%
2020 34.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -6.3%
2021 34.01 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.4%
2022 33.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.0%
2023 33.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.6%
2024 32.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -2.0%
2025 31.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -2.5%
2026 30.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -2.4%
2027 30.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -2.7%
2028 29.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -2.9%
2030 27.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -6.4%
2040 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -32.0%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 39.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 37.93 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 39.94 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 10
2010s 39.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 36.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 41.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 10
2020s 32.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 29.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 34.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 9
2030s 27.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 27.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 27.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 1
2040s 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 1

Countries ranked near Fragile states

  1. 23 Kiribati 19.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  2. 24 Dominican Republic 19.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  3. 25 Norway 19.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  4. 26 Sudan 19.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  5. 27 Iceland 19.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  6. 28 Peru 19.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  7. 29 Colombia 19.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare

See the full ranking of 235 places →

More education data for Fragile states

All data for Fragile states →

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Fragile states?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Fragile states was 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth recorded in Fragile states?
The highest recorded value was 41.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2015.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth recorded in Fragile states?
The lowest recorded value was 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040.
How does Fragile states rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth?
Fragile states ranks 26th out of 48 regions with data for 2040.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth rising or falling in Fragile states?
Over the last ten years it is down 32.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Fragile states data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (accelerated scenario). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Fragile states. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 26 August 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-2/fragile-states/

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<a href="https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-2/fragile-states/">Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Fragile states</a> — Statizoid

About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (accelerated scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.