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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (accelerated scenario) by country

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual...

Countries reporting
165
Highest
21.18 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Jamaica
Lowest
0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Democratic People’s Republic of Korea
Median
18.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Years covered
41
2000–2040
Data points
7,228

What the numbers show

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (accelerated scenario) is currently reported for 165 countries. The highest value is 21.18 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Jamaica; the lowest is 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.

The median across all reporting countries is 18.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, and the mean is 18.28 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Jamaica 21.18 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.4% falling
2 Malaysia 21.04 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.3% falling
3 St. Lucia 20.77 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.8% falling
4 Bosnia and Herzegovina 20.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.8% falling
5 Denmark 20.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.7% falling
6 Mauritius 20.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 7.4% falling
7 Antigua and Barbuda 20.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.0% falling
8 Guyana 20.12 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.9% falling
9 Nigeria 20.07 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.0% falling
10 Albania 20.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.3% falling
11 Grenada 20 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.6% falling
12 Israel 19.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.6% falling
13 Cyprus 19.93 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.4% falling
14 Philippines 19.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.1% falling
15 Sweden 19.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.5% falling
16 Malta 19.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.0% falling
17 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 19.76 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.7% falling
18 Zambia 19.74 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.0% falling
19 El Salvador 19.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.3% falling
20 South Africa 19.71 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.2% falling
21 Malawi 19.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.5% falling
22 North Macedonia, Republic of 19.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.6% falling
23 Kiribati 19.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.6% falling
24 Dominican Republic 19.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.0% falling
25 Norway 19.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.0% falling
26 Sudan 19.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.3% rising
27 Iceland 19.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.4% falling
28 Peru 19.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.5% falling
29 Colombia 19.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.3% falling
30 Sri Lanka 19.63 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.6% falling
31 Kenya 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.9% falling
32 United States 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.5% falling
33 Venezuela, República Bolivariana de 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.7% falling
34 Nepal 19.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.7% falling
35 Chile 19.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.3% falling
36 Lebanon 19.51 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.5% falling
37 Panama 19.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.0% falling
38 Ecuador 19.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.8% falling
39 Uganda 19.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.8% falling
40 Bangladesh 19.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.7% falling
41 Botswana 19.42 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.8% falling
42 Bolivia 19.38 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.7% falling
43 Argentina 19.36 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.1% falling
44 Suriname 19.28 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.9% falling
45 Finland 19.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.4% falling
46 Mexico 19.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.2% falling
47 India 19.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.5% falling
48 United Kingdom 19.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.2% falling
49 Serbia, Republic of 19.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 7.2% falling
50 Indonesia 19.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.6% falling
51 Montenegro 19.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.9% falling
52 Belize 19.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.1% falling
53 Thailand 19.18 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.7% falling
54 Paraguay 19.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.1% falling
55 Switzerland 19.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.7% falling
56 Brunei Darussalam 19.13 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 25.9% falling
57 Luxembourg 19.13 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.7% falling
58 Romania 19.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.7% falling
59 Canada 19.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.1% falling
60 Germany 19.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.0% falling
61 Egypt, Arab Republic of 19.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.8% falling
62 New Zealand 19.04 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.0% rising
63 Nicaragua 19.03 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.8% falling
64 Jordan 18.99 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 25.8% falling
65 OECD 18.99 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.1% falling
66 Bahamas, The 18.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.0% rising
67 Bhutan 18.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.3% falling
68 Portugal 18.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.1% falling
69 Rwanda 18.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.0% flat
70 Libya 18.89 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.1% falling
71 Belgium 18.89 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.2% falling
72 Austria 18.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.9% falling
73 Bulgaria 18.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.5% falling
74 Zimbabwe 18.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.4% falling
75 France 18.85 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.8% falling
76 Brazil 18.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.1% falling
77 Cambodia 18.79 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.2% falling
78 Comoros, Union of the 18.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.2% falling
79 Africa, fragile states 18.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.3% falling
80 Honduras 18.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.2% falling
81 Cuba 18.71 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.5% falling
82 Uruguay 18.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.3% falling
83 Guatemala 18.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.9% falling
84 Costa Rica 18.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 25.8% falling
85 Niger 18.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.7% rising
86 Pakistan 18.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.0% falling
87 Somalia 18.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.8% rising
88 Chad 18.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.1% rising
89 Uzbekistan, Republic of 18.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.5% flat
90 Singapore 18.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 1.5% rising
91 Algeria 18.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.1% falling
92 Iraq 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.7% falling
93 Saudi Arabia 18.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.4% falling
94 Benin 18.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 33.5% falling
95 Ghana 18.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.5% falling
96 Tanzania, United Republic of 18.49 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.0% falling
97 Namibia 18.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.1% falling
98 Tonga 18.47 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.7% falling
99 Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) 18.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.2% falling
100 Liberia 18.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.7% falling
101 Morocco 18.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.5% falling
102 Myanmar 18.41 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.7% falling
103 World outside Africa 18.41 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.2% falling
104 Papua New Guinea 18.41 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.6% falling
105 Djibouti 18.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.2% falling
106 Mali 18.39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.1% rising
107 Solomon Islands 18.34 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.2% falling
108 Lao People's Democratic Republic 18.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.5% falling
109 Hungary 18.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.1% falling
110 Australia 18.26 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.9% rising
111 Burkina Faso 18.26 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.6% rising
112 Cameroon 18.26 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.1% falling
113 Turkmenistan 18.26 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.8% falling
114 East African Community 18.24 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.8% falling
115 Mongolia 18.24 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.1% falling
116 Italy 18.23 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.8% falling
117 Kyrgyz Republic 18.23 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.3% falling
118 Tunisia 18.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.0% falling
119 China, People's Republic of 18.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.9% falling
120 Senegal 18.19 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.1% falling
121 Trinidad and Tobago 18.18 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.4% falling
122 Samoa 18.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.9% falling
123 Barbados 18.12 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.5% falling
124 Congo, Republic of 18.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 40.9% falling
125 Vanuatu 18.08 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.2% falling
126 Greece 18.07 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.3% falling
127 Tajikistan, Republic of 18 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.7% falling
128 Seychelles 17.99 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 33.5% falling
129 Burundi 17.97 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.7% flat
130 Angola 17.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 41.9% flat
131 Armenia, Republic of 17.95 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.6% falling
132 Guinea-Bissau 17.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.6% falling
133 Spain 17.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.7% falling
134 Iran, Islamic Republic of 17.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.6% falling
135 Guinea 17.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.2% flat
136 São Tomé and Príncipe, Democratic Republic of 17.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.1% falling
137 Togo 17.89 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 40.7% falling
138 Oman 17.77 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.7% falling
139 Gambia, The 17.77 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.6% flat
140 Haiti 17.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.3% falling
141 Bahrain, Kingdom of 17.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.4% falling
142 Gabon 17.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 40.2% falling
143 Eritrea, The State of 17.61 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.3% falling
144 Central African Republic 17.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.4% falling
145 Ireland 17.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.8% falling
146 Maldives 17.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.3% falling
147 Azerbaijan, Republic of 17.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.7% falling
148 Czech Republic 17.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.4% falling
149 Ukraine 17.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.9% falling
150 Georgia 17.31 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.7% flat
151 Côte d’Ivoire 17.31 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.8% falling
152 Mozambique, Republic of 17.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 42.3% rising
153 Kuwait 17.04 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.1% falling
154 Sierra Leone 16.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.2% rising
155 Belarus, Republic of 16.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.0% rising
156 Kazakhstan, Republic of 16.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.8% rising
157 Russian Federation 16.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.2% rising
158 Qatar 16.77 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.5% falling
159 Japan 16.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.2% falling
160 Resource-rich countries 16.23 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.4% falling
161 United Arab Emirates 15.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.6% falling
162 Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of 0.0937 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 92.1% volatile
163 South Sudan, Republic of 0.0903 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 76.1% volatile
164 Yemen, Republic of 0.0352 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 80.5% volatile
165 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 100.0% volatile

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

  • Lithuania 19.95 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Fiji 19.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Netherlands 19.38 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Eswatini 19.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Moldova 18.93 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Lesotho 18.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Latvia 18.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Croatia 18.35 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Korea 18.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Estonia 18.12 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Slovak Republic 18.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Poland 17.97 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth by country. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 18 August 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-2/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (accelerated scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. <br><br> Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.