Africa's Development: Projected youth … but not accelerated in Kenya
Kenya: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth was 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040. ▼ Falling
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Kenya, 2000–2040
Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.
Analysis
Kenya recorded 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in 2040. That is the lowest value across all 32 years on record.
That represents a change of down 28.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Kenya peaked at 58.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2000 and was at its lowest, 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, in 2040.
Kenya ranks 31st of 160 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 32 years of available data.
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Kenya, year by year
| Year | Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 58.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | — |
| 2001 | 57.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.3% |
| 2002 | 57.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.3% |
| 2003 | 57.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.3% |
| 2004 | 57.42 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.3% |
| 2005 | 57.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.3% |
| 2006 | 56.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.5% |
| 2007 | 56.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.6% |
| 2008 | 56.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.6% |
| 2009 | 56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.6% |
| 2010 | 55.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.6% |
| 2011 | 55.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | +0.1% |
| 2012 | 55.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.1% |
| 2013 | 55.53 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.3% |
| 2014 | 55.28 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.5% |
| 2015 | 54.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -0.6% |
| 2016 | 52.94 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -3.6% |
| 2017 | 50.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 47.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -5.4% |
| 2019 | 44.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -6.3% |
| 2020 | 41.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -7.2% |
| 2021 | 40.75 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -2.2% |
| 2022 | 39.43 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -3.2% |
| 2023 | 37.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -4.1% |
| 2024 | 36.04 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -4.7% |
| 2025 | 34.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -5.2% |
| 2026 | 32.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -3.9% |
| 2027 | 31.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -4.1% |
| 2028 | 30.18 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -4.2% |
| 2029 | 28.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -4.3% |
| 2030 | 27.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -4.5% |
| 2040 | 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | -28.9% |
Kenya compared with similar countries
- Kenya's 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 18.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, 1.1× the median. (41 countries reporting)
- Kenya's 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 18.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, 1.1× the median. (39 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Kenya changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2040 | -28.9% | 27.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000s | 57.18 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 58.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 10 |
| 2010s | 52.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 44.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 55.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 10 |
| 2020s | 35.33 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 28.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 41.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 10 |
| 2030s | 27.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 27.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 27.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 1 |
| 2040s | 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near Kenya
- 28 Peru 19.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
- 29 Colombia 19.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
- 30 Sri Lanka 19.63 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
- 31 Syrian Arab Republic 18.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
- 32 United States 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
- 33 Venezuela 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
- 34 Estonia 18.12 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
- 34 Nepal 19.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
More education data for Kenya
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 168,396 (2023)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 235,728 (2016)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 1.44 million (2023)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 1.44 million (2023)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 6.74 million (2023)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 8.04 million (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate -0.7181 % change on previous year (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.1453 units per person (2023)
Frequently asked questions
- What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Kenya?
- Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Kenya was 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
- What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth recorded in Kenya?
- The highest recorded value was 58.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2000.
- What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth recorded in Kenya?
- The lowest recorded value was 19.62 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040.
- How does Kenya rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth?
- Kenya ranks 31st out of 160 countries with data for 2040.
- Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth rising or falling in Kenya?
- Over the last ten years it is down 28.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Kenya data come from?
- The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (accelerated scenario). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.