Africa's Development: Projected youth education … but not secondary in Kenya

Kenya: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth was 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040. ▼ Falling

Latest (2040)
44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
World rank
38th
of 160 countries
All-time high
58.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
in 2000
All-time low
44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
in 2040
Years of data
32
2000–2040

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Kenya, 2000–2040

02040602000202020402000: 58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2001: 57.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2002: 57.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2003: 57.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2004: 57.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2005: 57.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2006: 57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2007: 56.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2008: 56.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2009: 56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2010: 55.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2011: 55.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2012: 55.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2013: 55.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2014: 55.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2015: 54.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2016: 55 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2017: 54.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2018: 54.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2019: 54.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2020: 54 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2021: 54.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2022: 54 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2023: 53.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2024: 53.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2025: 52.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2026: 52.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2027: 51.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2028: 51 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2029: 50.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2030: 49.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2040: 44.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.

Analysis

Kenya recorded 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in 2040. That is the lowest value across all 32 years on record.

That represents a change of down 11.3% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Kenya peaked at 58.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2000 and was at its lowest, 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, in 2040.

Kenya ranks 38th of 160 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 32 years of available data.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Kenya, year by year

Annual values for Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (medium scenario) in Kenya, 2000 to 2040.
Year Percentage of population aged 15-29 years Change
2000 58.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years —
2001 57.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.3%
2002 57.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.3%
2003 57.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.3%
2004 57.42 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.3%
2005 57.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.3%
2006 56.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.5%
2007 56.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.6%
2008 56.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.6%
2009 56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.6%
2010 55.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.6%
2011 55.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.1%
2012 55.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.1%
2013 55.53 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.3%
2014 55.28 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.5%
2015 54.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.6%
2016 54.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.1%
2017 54.88 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.1%
2018 54.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.4%
2019 54.37 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.6%
2020 53.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.8%
2021 54.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years +0.2%
2022 53.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.2%
2023 53.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.5%
2024 53.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -0.8%
2025 52.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.1%
2026 52.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.0%
2027 51.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.1%
2028 51 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.1%
2029 50.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.2%
2030 49.79 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.2%
2040 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -11.3%

Kenya compared with similar countries

  • Kenya's 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 42.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, 1.0× the median. (41 countries reporting)
  • Kenya's 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 44.74 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, 99% of the median. (39 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 57.18 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 58.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 10
2010s 55.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 54.37 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 55.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 10
2020s 52.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 50.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 54.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 10
2030s 49.79 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 49.79 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 49.79 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 1
2040s 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 1

Countries ranked near Kenya

  1. 35 Uruguay 44.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  2. 35 Timor-Leste 31.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  3. 36 Sierra Leone 44.74 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  4. 37 Burkina Faso 44.23 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  5. 39 Netherlands 23.22 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  6. 39 Namibia 43.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  7. 40 Paraguay 43.71 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  8. 41 Liberia 43.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare

See the full ranking of 235 places →

More education data for Kenya

All data for Kenya →

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Kenya?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Kenya was 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth recorded in Kenya?
The highest recorded value was 58.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2000.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth recorded in Kenya?
The lowest recorded value was 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040.
How does Kenya rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth?
Kenya ranks 38th out of 160 countries with data for 2040.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth rising or falling in Kenya?
Over the last ten years it is down 11.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Kenya data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (medium scenario). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Kenya. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 07 October 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-5/kenya/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.