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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (medium scenario) by country

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual...

Countries reporting
182
Highest
77.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Tanzania
Lowest
0.0107 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
North Korea
Median
31.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Years covered
41
2000–2040
Data points
7,228

What the numbers show

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (medium scenario) is currently reported for 182 countries. The highest value is 77.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Tanzania; the lowest is 0.0107 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in North Korea.

The median across all reporting countries is 31.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, and the mean is 34.39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.

The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 7,306.

Over the past decade 32 countries rose and 150 fell. The largest increase was in Niger (up 23.0%), and the largest decrease in Kazakhstan (down 32.5%).

Africa's Development: Projected youth education … but not secondary: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Tanzania 77.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.9% rising
1 Equatorial Guinea 66.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.1% rising
2 Sao Tome and Principe 74.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 0.2% rising
2 Madagascar 60.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 7.9% rising
2 Democratic Republic of the Congo 54.34 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.7% rising
3 Central African Republic 73.55 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 1.7% rising
3 Cabo Verde 56.54 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 0.6% rising
4 Burundi 64.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 5.3% rising
5 Uganda 63.93 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 1.0% rising
6 Maldives 62.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.4% falling
7 Congo 60.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.8% falling
7 Mauritania 51.79 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 4.5% rising
8 Cameroon 57.01 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.0% rising
8 Lesotho 51.76 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.7% rising
8 Viet Nam 46.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.2% falling
9 Honduras 56.99 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 0.6% rising
10 Cambodia 56.55 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.4% rising
11 Angola 56.43 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 8.6% rising
12 Togo 55.85 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 2.0% rising
13 Malawi 55.76 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 1.2% rising
14 Gabon 52.38 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.3% falling
14 Ethiopia 43.29 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 12.9% rising
15 Senegal 52.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 4.4% rising
15 Syrian Arab Republic 42.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.0% rising
16 Zambia 51.88 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.3% rising
17 Vanuatu 51.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.3% rising
18 Chad 51.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 18.8% rising
18 Eswatini 33.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.3% falling
19 Solomon Islands 51.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.6% rising
20 Papua New Guinea 51.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.7% flat
21 Ghana 50.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.9% flat
22 Suriname 50.24 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.2% falling
23 Côte d’Ivoire 49.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 4.3% rising
23 Fiji 26.93 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.1% falling
24 Iraq 49.63 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.6% rising
24 Moldova 21.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.0% falling
25 Bhutan 48.75 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 3.5% rising
25 Croatia 20.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.6% falling
26 Rwanda 48.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 10.3% rising
27 Guatemala 48.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 0.7% rising
28 Mozambique 47.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 11.9% rising
29 Myanmar 47.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.9% rising
30 Somalia 46.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 12.7% rising
31 Guinea-Bissau 46.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 3.4% rising
31 Micronesia 32.54 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.6% falling
32 Bangladesh 46.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.9% rising
32 Türkiye 31.95 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.6% falling
33 Mexico 45.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.1% falling
34 Nicaragua 45.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.1% rising
35 Uruguay 44.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.1% falling
35 Timor-Leste 31.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.4% rising
36 Sierra Leone 44.74 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 8.5% rising
37 Burkina Faso 44.23 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 15.0% rising
38 Kenya 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.3% falling
39 Namibia 43.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.4% flat
39 Netherlands 23.22 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 1.3% falling
40 Paraguay 43.71 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.1% falling
41 Liberia 43.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 1.2% rising
42 Comoros 42.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.3% falling
42 Latvia 22.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.1% falling
43 Gambia 42.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 0.2% rising
43 Estonia 22.85 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.6% falling
44 Benin 41.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 4.5% rising
44 Lithuania 22.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.9% falling
45 El Salvador 41.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.2% falling
46 Samoa 41.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.2% falling
46 Slovenia 19.79 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.2% falling
47 Jamaica 41.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.2% falling
47 Poland 19.61 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.4% falling
48 Laos 40.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.9% flat
49 Eritrea 40.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 5.8% rising
50 Djibouti 40.51 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 8.2% rising
51 Pakistan 39.99 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 2.7% rising
52 Costa Rica 39.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.8% falling
53 Belize 39.34 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 7.7% falling
54 Niger 39.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 23.0% rising
55 Haiti 38.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.0% flat
56 Kuwait 38.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.0% falling
57 Nepal 38.35 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 2.4% rising
58 Tonga 38.04 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.9% falling
59 Ecuador 37.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.6% falling
60 Guinea 37.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 9.4% rising
61 Morocco 36.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.9% rising
62 India 36.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.8% rising
63 Nigeria 36.34 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.8% rising
64 Mauritius 36.31 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.6% falling
65 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 35.39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.8% falling
66 Brazil 34.33 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.4% falling
67 Oman 34.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.0% flat
68 Sudan 33.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.5% rising
69 Lebanon 33.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.9% falling
70 Bahrain 33.42 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.6% rising
71 Dominican Republic 33.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.9% falling
72 Qatar 33.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.0% rising
73 Bolivia 33.07 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.7% falling
74 Colombia 32.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.1% falling
75 Guyana 32.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.5% falling
76 Panama 32.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.3% falling
77 Botswana 32.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.9% falling
78 Jordan 32.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.3% falling
79 Albania 32.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.6% falling
80 Argentina 31.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.0% falling
81 Brunei Darussalam 31.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.3% falling
82 Indonesia 31.39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.1% falling
83 Venezuela 31.13 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.5% falling
84 Mali 30.97 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 19.3% rising
85 Kiribati 30.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.9% falling
86 South Africa 30.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.5% falling
87 Tunisia 30.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.8% falling
88 China 29.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.9% falling
89 Sri Lanka 29.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.3% falling
90 Libya 29.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.1% falling
91 Iran 29.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.7% falling
92 Malta 28.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.0% falling
93 United Arab Emirates 28.28 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.0% flat
94 Saudi Arabia 28.13 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.1% falling
95 Iceland 27.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.1% falling
96 Saint Lucia 26.97 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.2% falling
97 Seychelles 26.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.7% falling
98 OECD 26.74 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.3% falling
99 Israel 26.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.0% falling
100 Portugal 26.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.9% falling
101 Antigua and Barbuda 26.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.8% falling
102 Zimbabwe 26.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.0% falling
103 Chile 26.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.2% falling
104 Grenada 26.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.7% falling
105 Thailand 25.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.8% falling
106 Peru 25.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.9% falling
107 North Macedonia 24.95 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.7% falling
108 Norway 24.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.3% falling
109 Luxembourg 24.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.0% falling
110 Barbados 24.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.6% falling
111 Malaysia 24.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 7.9% falling
112 Denmark 24.37 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 3.2% falling
113 Trinidad and Tobago 24.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.7% falling
114 United Kingdom 24.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.9% falling
115 Algeria 23.78 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.4% falling
116 Cuba 23.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.8% falling
117 Sweden 23.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.7% falling
118 Austria 23.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.6% falling
119 Switzerland 23.37 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.6% falling
120 United States 23.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 0.9% falling
121 Spain 23.04 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.1% falling
122 Philippines 22.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.6% falling
123 Italy 22.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.8% falling
124 Belgium 22.61 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.1% falling
125 Germany 22.54 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.8% falling
126 Bosnia and Herzegovina 22.29 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.8% falling
127 Canada 22.26 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.6% falling
128 Romania 22.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.3% falling
129 Cyprus 21.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.2% falling
130 France 21.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.5% falling
131 New Zealand 21.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.6% rising
132 Finland 21.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.7% falling
133 Greece 21.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.8% falling
134 Egypt 21.03 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.5% falling
135 Singapore 20.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 3.2% rising
136 Australia 20.63 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.9% rising
137 Serbia 20.61 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.1% falling
138 Bulgaria 20.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.0% falling
139 Bahamas 20.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 7.6% rising
140 Montenegro 20.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.3% falling
141 Mongolia 20.51 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.7% falling
142 Afghanistan 20.47 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.5% falling
143 Hungary 20.41 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.0% falling
144 Ireland 20.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.4% falling
145 Armenia 19.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.4% falling
146 Tajikistan 19.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.9% falling
147 Uzbekistan 19.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.4% flat
148 Czechia 19.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.4% falling
149 Kyrgyzstan 19.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.4% falling
150 Turkmenistan 18.95 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.2% falling
151 Georgia 18.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 25.3% rising
152 Azerbaijan 18.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.3% falling
153 Ukraine 18.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.1% falling
154 Belarus 18.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.1% rising
155 Japan 18.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.3% falling
156 Russia 18.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 25.5% rising
157 Kazakhstan 18.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.5% rising
158 South Sudan 15.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 1.8% falling
159 Yemen 9.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 2.0% rising
160 North Korea 0.0107 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.6% volatile

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth by country. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 07 October 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-5/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.