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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (medium scenario) by country

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual...

Countries reporting
165
Highest
77.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Tanzania, United Republic of
Lowest
0.0107 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Korea, Democratic People's Republic of
Median
31.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Years covered
41
2000–2040
Data points
7,228

What the numbers show

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (medium scenario) is currently reported for 165 countries. The highest value is 77.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Tanzania, United Republic of; the lowest is 0.0107 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Korea, Democratic People's Republic of.

The median across all reporting countries is 31.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, and the mean is 34.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.

The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 7,306.

Over the past decade 29 countries rose and 136 fell. The largest increase was in Niger (up 23.0%), and the largest decrease in Kazakhstan, Republic of (down 32.5%).

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Tanzania, United Republic of 77.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.9% rising
2 São Tomé and Príncipe, Democratic Republic of 74.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 0.2% rising
3 Central African Republic 73.55 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 1.7% rising
4 Burundi 64.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 5.3% rising
5 Uganda 63.93 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 1.0% rising
6 Maldives 62.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.4% falling
7 Congo, Republic of 60.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.8% falling
8 East African Community 57.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.4% rising
9 Cameroon 57.01 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.0% rising
10 Honduras 56.99 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 0.6% rising
11 Cambodia 56.55 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.4% rising
12 Angola 56.43 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 8.6% rising
13 Togo 55.85 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 2.0% rising
14 Malawi 55.76 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 1.2% rising
15 Gabon 52.38 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.3% falling
16 Senegal 52.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 4.4% rising
17 Zambia 51.88 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.3% rising
18 Vanuatu 51.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.3% rising
19 Chad 51.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 18.8% rising
20 Solomon Islands 51.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.6% rising
21 Papua New Guinea 51.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.7% flat
22 Ghana 50.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.9% flat
23 Suriname 50.24 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.2% falling
24 Côte d’Ivoire 49.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 4.3% rising
25 Iraq 49.63 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.6% rising
26 Bhutan 48.75 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 3.5% rising
27 Rwanda 48.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 10.3% rising
28 Guatemala 48.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 0.7% rising
29 Mozambique, Republic of 47.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 11.9% rising
30 Africa, fragile states 47.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 1.1% rising
31 Myanmar 47.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.9% rising
32 Somalia 46.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 12.7% rising
33 Guinea-Bissau 46.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 3.4% rising
34 Bangladesh 46.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.9% rising
35 Mexico 45.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.1% falling
36 Nicaragua 45.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.1% rising
37 Uruguay 44.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.1% falling
38 Sierra Leone 44.74 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 8.5% rising
39 Burkina Faso 44.23 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 15.0% rising
40 Kenya 44.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.3% falling
41 Namibia 43.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.4% flat
42 Paraguay 43.71 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.1% falling
43 Liberia 43.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 1.2% rising
44 Comoros, Union of the 42.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.3% falling
45 Gambia, The 42.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 0.2% rising
46 Benin 41.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 4.5% rising
47 El Salvador 41.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.2% falling
48 Samoa 41.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.2% falling
49 Jamaica 41.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.2% falling
50 Lao People's Democratic Republic 40.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.9% flat
51 Eritrea, The State of 40.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 5.8% rising
52 Djibouti 40.51 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 8.2% rising
53 Pakistan 39.99 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 2.7% rising
54 Costa Rica 39.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.8% falling
55 Belize 39.34 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 7.7% falling
56 Niger 39.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 23.0% rising
57 Haiti 38.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.0% flat
58 Kuwait 38.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.0% falling
59 Nepal 38.35 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 2.4% rising
60 Tonga 38.04 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.9% falling
61 Ecuador 37.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.6% falling
62 Guinea 37.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 9.4% rising
63 Morocco 36.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.9% rising
64 India 36.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.8% rising
65 Nigeria 36.34 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.8% rising
66 Mauritius 36.31 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.6% falling
67 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 35.39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.8% falling
68 Brazil 34.33 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.4% falling
69 Oman 34.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.0% flat
70 Sudan 33.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.5% rising
71 Lebanon 33.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.9% falling
72 Bahrain, Kingdom of 33.42 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.6% rising
73 Dominican Republic 33.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.9% falling
74 Qatar 33.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.0% rising
75 Bolivia 33.07 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.7% falling
76 Colombia 32.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.1% falling
77 Guyana 32.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.5% falling
78 Panama 32.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.3% falling
79 World outside Africa 32.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.0% falling
80 Botswana 32.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.9% falling
81 Jordan 32.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.3% falling
82 Albania 32.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.6% falling
83 Argentina 31.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.0% falling
84 Brunei Darussalam 31.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.3% falling
85 Indonesia 31.39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.1% falling
86 Resource-rich countries 31.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.5% falling
87 Venezuela, República Bolivariana de 31.13 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.5% falling
88 Mali 30.97 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 19.3% rising
89 Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) 30.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.0% falling
90 Kiribati 30.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.9% falling
91 South Africa 30.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.5% falling
92 Tunisia 30.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.8% falling
93 China (People’s Republic of) 29.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.9% falling
94 Sri Lanka 29.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 12.3% falling
95 Libya 29.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.1% falling
96 Iran, Islamic Republic of 29.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.7% falling
97 Malta 28.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.0% falling
98 United Arab Emirates 28.28 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.0% flat
99 Saudi Arabia 28.13 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.1% falling
100 Iceland 27.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.1% falling
101 St. Lucia 26.97 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.2% falling
102 Seychelles 26.96 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.7% falling
103 OECD 26.74 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.3% falling
104 Israel 26.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.0% falling
105 Portugal 26.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.9% falling
106 Antigua and Barbuda 26.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.8% falling
107 Zimbabwe 26.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.0% falling
108 Chile 26.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.2% falling
109 Grenada 26.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.7% falling
110 Thailand 25.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.8% falling
111 Peru 25.52 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.9% falling
112 North Macedonia, Republic of 24.95 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.7% falling
113 Norway 24.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.3% falling
114 Luxembourg 24.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.0% falling
115 Barbados 24.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.6% falling
116 Malaysia 24.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 7.9% falling
117 Denmark 24.37 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 3.2% falling
118 Trinidad and Tobago 24.17 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.7% falling
119 United Kingdom 24.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.9% falling
120 Algeria 23.78 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.4% falling
121 Cuba 23.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.8% falling
122 Sweden 23.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.7% falling
123 Austria 23.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.6% falling
124 Switzerland 23.37 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.6% falling
125 United States 23.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 0.9% falling
126 Spain 23.04 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.1% falling
127 Philippines 22.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.6% falling
128 Italy 22.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.8% falling
129 Belgium 22.61 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 9.1% falling
130 Germany 22.54 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.8% falling
131 Bosnia and Herzegovina 22.29 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.8% falling
132 Canada 22.26 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.6% falling
133 Romania 22.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.3% falling
134 Cyprus 21.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.2% falling
135 France 21.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.5% falling
136 New Zealand 21.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.6% rising
137 Finland 21.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.7% falling
138 Greece 21.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.8% falling
139 Egypt, Arab Republic of 21.03 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.5% falling
140 Singapore 20.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 3.2% rising
141 Australia 20.63 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.9% rising
142 Serbia, Republic of 20.61 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.1% falling
143 Bulgaria 20.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 13.0% falling
144 Bahamas, The 20.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 7.6% rising
145 Montenegro 20.58 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.3% falling
146 Mongolia 20.51 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.7% falling
147 Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of 20.47 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 5.5% falling
148 Hungary 20.41 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 4.0% falling
149 Ireland 20.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 14.4% falling
150 Armenia, Republic of 19.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.4% falling
151 Tajikistan, Republic of 19.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.9% falling
152 Uzbekistan, Republic of 19.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.4% flat
153 Czechia 19.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 11.4% falling
154 Kyrgyz Republic 19.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.4% falling
155 Turkmenistan 18.95 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.2% falling
156 Georgia 18.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 25.3% rising
157 Azerbaijan, Republic of 18.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.3% falling
158 Ukraine 18.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.1% falling
159 Belarus, Republic of 18.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.1% rising
160 Japan 18.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 8.3% falling
161 Russian Federation 18.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 25.5% rising
162 Kazakhstan, Republic of 18.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.5% rising
163 South Sudan, Republic of 15.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 1.8% falling
164 Yemen, Republic of 9.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 2.0% rising
165 Korea, Democratic People's Republic of 0.0107 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.6% volatile

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

  • Equatorial Guinea 66.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Madagascar 60.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Mauritania 51.79 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Lesotho 51.76 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Least Developed Countries 47.59 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Ethiopia 43.29 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Eswatini 33.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Fiji 26.93 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Netherlands 23.22 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Latvia 22.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Estonia 22.85 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Lithuania 22.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth by country. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 19 August 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-5/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with primary but not secondary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. <br><br> Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.