Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (accelerated scenario) by country
The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual...
What the numbers show
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (accelerated scenario) is currently reported for 165 countries. The highest value is 0.4881 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in South Sudan, Republic of; the lowest is 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Brunei Darussalam.
The median across all reporting countries is 0.0208 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, and the mean is 0.0572 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Sudan, Republic of | 0.4881 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.4% | volatile |
| 2 | Yemen, Republic of | 0.4317 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 93.6% | volatile |
| 3 | Guinea | 0.329 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.9% | volatile |
| 4 | Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of | 0.3205 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.3% | volatile |
| 5 | Mali | 0.2929 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.3% | volatile |
| 6 | Egypt, Arab Republic of | 0.2491 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 81.3% | volatile |
| 7 | Djibouti | 0.2454 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.3% | volatile |
| 8 | Bulgaria | 0.2434 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 61.2% | falling |
| 9 | Eritrea, The State of | 0.228 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.3% | volatile |
| 10 | Sudan | 0.2222 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.7% | volatile |
| 11 | Nigeria | 0.2044 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 91.0% | volatile |
| 12 | Pakistan | 0.1967 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 93.1% | volatile |
| 13 | Gambia, The | 0.1826 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.1% | volatile |
| 14 | Benin | 0.1823 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.1% | volatile |
| 15 | Philippines | 0.1734 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 76.6% | volatile |
| 16 | Côte d’Ivoire | 0.1726 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.1% | volatile |
| 17 | Haiti | 0.1671 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 93.8% | volatile |
| 18 | Somalia | 0.1596 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.6% | volatile |
| 19 | Rwanda | 0.1584 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.3% | volatile |
| 20 | Senegal | 0.1483 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.5% | volatile |
| 21 | Guinea-Bissau | 0.1475 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.5% | volatile |
| 22 | Niger | 0.1442 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.4% | volatile |
| 23 | Liberia | 0.1424 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.7% | volatile |
| 24 | India | 0.1412 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.2% | volatile |
| 25 | Africa, fragile states | 0.1374 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.0% | volatile |
| 26 | New Zealand | 0.1336 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 68.3% | falling |
| 27 | Burkina Faso | 0.1279 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.7% | volatile |
| 28 | Sierra Leone | 0.1151 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.7% | volatile |
| 29 | Chad | 0.1092 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.4% | volatile |
| 30 | Ireland | 0.1092 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 58.5% | falling |
| 31 | Jordan | 0.107 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 90.7% | volatile |
| 32 | Bhutan | 0.1042 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.9% | volatile |
| 33 | Libya | 0.101 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 88.5% | volatile |
| 34 | Mozambique, Republic of | 0.0987 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.0% | volatile |
| 35 | Comoros, Union of the | 0.0981 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 93.7% | volatile |
| 36 | Qatar | 0.0966 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 91.8% | volatile |
| 37 | Togo | 0.0941 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.4% | volatile |
| 38 | Belize | 0.0937 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.8% | volatile |
| 39 | Sweden | 0.088 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 54.1% | volatile |
| 40 | Oman | 0.0868 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 90.5% | volatile |
| 41 | Switzerland | 0.0864 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 79.7% | falling |
| 42 | Nepal | 0.0862 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.6% | volatile |
| 43 | Germany | 0.0857 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 64.0% | volatile |
| 44 | Nicaragua | 0.0846 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.0% | volatile |
| 45 | United Arab Emirates | 0.0786 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 90.2% | volatile |
| 46 | Angola | 0.0751 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.6% | volatile |
| 47 | Guatemala | 0.0728 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.5% | volatile |
| 48 | El Salvador | 0.0714 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 93.7% | volatile |
| 49 | France | 0.0711 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 70.7% | falling |
| 50 | Bangladesh | 0.0709 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.0% | volatile |
| 51 | World outside Africa | 0.0706 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.9% | volatile |
| 52 | Resource-rich countries | 0.0671 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.0% | falling |
| 53 | Kuwait | 0.063 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.2% | volatile |
| 54 | Bahrain, Kingdom of | 0.0599 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.0% | volatile |
| 55 | Lao People's Democratic Republic | 0.0573 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.9% | volatile |
| 56 | Mauritius | 0.056 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 93.6% | volatile |
| 57 | Myanmar | 0.0549 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.3% | volatile |
| 58 | Morocco | 0.0549 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.4% | volatile |
| 59 | United States | 0.0535 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 81.6% | volatile |
| 60 | Peru | 0.0521 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 89.6% | volatile |
| 61 | Romania | 0.0509 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 77.2% | volatile |
| 62 | Zambia | 0.0506 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.7% | volatile |
| 63 | Panama | 0.0378 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 91.9% | volatile |
| 64 | East African Community | 0.037 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.9% | volatile |
| 65 | Burundi | 0.037 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 98.3% | volatile |
| 66 | Ghana | 0.0365 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.4% | volatile |
| 67 | Brazil | 0.0365 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.3% | volatile |
| 68 | Iraq | 0.0361 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.9% | volatile |
| 69 | Sri Lanka | 0.036 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.3% | volatile |
| 70 | Honduras | 0.0358 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.7% | volatile |
| 71 | Dominican Republic | 0.0354 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.6% | volatile |
| 72 | Colombia | 0.0354 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.2% | volatile |
| 73 | Bolivia | 0.0354 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 92.5% | volatile |
| 74 | Uganda | 0.035 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.9% | volatile |
| 75 | Malawi | 0.0343 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.8% | volatile |
| 76 | Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) | 0.0334 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.4% | volatile |
| 77 | OECD | 0.0281 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 85.8% | volatile |
| 78 | Hungary | 0.0245 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 80.6% | falling |
| 79 | Namibia | 0.0226 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.4% | volatile |
| 80 | Mongolia | 0.0218 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 85.9% | volatile |
| 81 | Denmark | 0.0216 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 78.6% | volatile |
| 82 | Norway | 0.0209 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 81.5% | falling |
| 83 | Greece | 0.0208 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 90.2% | volatile |
| 84 | Costa Rica | 0.0203 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.2% | volatile |
| 85 | Thailand | 0.0199 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.9% | volatile |
| 86 | Cambodia | 0.019 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.7% | volatile |
| 87 | Zimbabwe | 0.019 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.3% | volatile |
| 88 | Argentina | 0.0185 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.3% | volatile |
| 89 | Ecuador | 0.0182 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.7% | volatile |
| 90 | Paraguay | 0.0169 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.1% | volatile |
| 91 | Singapore | 0.0105 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.5% | volatile |
| 92 | Portugal | 0.0089 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.5% | volatile |
| 93 | Australia | 0.0081 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.1% | falling |
| 94 | Canada | 0.0079 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.7% | falling |
| 95 | Austria | 0.0079 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.3% | volatile |
| 96 | Lebanon | 0.007 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.2% | volatile |
| 97 | Spain | 0.0066 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 93.7% | volatile |
| 98 | Belgium | 0.0053 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 91.2% | volatile |
| 99 | Saudi Arabia | 0.0046 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.8% | volatile |
| 100 | United Kingdom | 0.0042 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.3% | volatile |
| 101 | Israel | 0.004 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 97.0% | volatile |
| 102 | Ukraine | 0.0031 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 94.6% | falling |
| 103 | Russian Federation | 0.0028 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 96.6% | falling |
| 104 | Italy | 0.0028 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.1% | volatile |
| 105 | Malaysia | 0.0025 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 98.3% | volatile |
| 106 | Kazakhstan, Republic of | 0.0021 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.6% | volatile |
| 107 | South Africa | 0.0012 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 99.5% | volatile |
| 108 | Uzbekistan, Republic of | 0.0011 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 91.1% | volatile |
| 109 | Iran, Islamic Republic of | 0.0011 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 99.4% | volatile |
| 110 | Japan | 0.0007 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 95.7% | falling |
| 111 | Tanzania, United Republic of | 0.0004 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 99.8% | volatile |
| 112 | Albania | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Armenia, Republic of | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | falling |
| 112 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Azerbaijan, Republic of | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Bahamas, The | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Belarus, Republic of | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | falling |
| 112 | Barbados | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Botswana | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Central African Republic | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Chile | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | China (People’s Republic of) | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Cameroon | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Congo, Republic of | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Cuba | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Cyprus | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | falling |
| 112 | Czechia | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | falling |
| 112 | Algeria | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Finland | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Gabon | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Georgia | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | falling |
| 112 | Grenada | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Guyana | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Indonesia | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Iceland | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Jamaica | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Kenya | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Kyrgyz Republic | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Kiribati | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | St. Lucia | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Luxembourg | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Maldives | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Mexico | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | North Macedonia, Republic of | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Malta | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Montenegro | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Papua New Guinea | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Korea, Democratic People's Republic of | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Solomon Islands | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Serbia, Republic of | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | São Tomé and Príncipe, Democratic Republic of | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Suriname | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Seychelles | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Tajikistan, Republic of | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Turkmenistan | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Tonga | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Tunisia | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Uruguay | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Venezuela, República Bolivariana de | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Vanuatu | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
| 112 | Samoa | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | — | volatile |
| 112 | Brunei Darussalam | 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years | 2040 | down 100.0% | volatile |
Regions and income groups
Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.
- Ethiopia 0.2689 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Mauritania 0.1523 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Least Developed Countries 0.1303 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Netherlands 0.0718 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Madagascar 0.0569 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Lesotho 0.0432 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Latvia 0.0371 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Lithuania 0.025 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Eswatini 0.0219 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Slovak Republic 0.0132 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Korea 0.0016 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
- Equatorial Guinea 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
About this data
The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. <br><br> Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.