Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in China
China: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ◆ Volatile
Latest (2100)
1.18 births per woman in last 5 years
World rank
49th
of 200 countries
All-time high
6.28 births per woman in last 5 years
in 1970
All-time low
1.14 births per woman in last 5 years
in 2035
Years of data
30
1955–2100
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in China, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
The most recent figure for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in China is 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years, measured in 2100.
That represents a change of down 0.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in China peaked at 6.28 births per woman in last 5 years in 1970 and was at its lowest, 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2035.
China ranks 49th of 200 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.
The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in China, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 6.06 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 5.79 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.4% |
| 1965 | 5.72 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.3% |
| 1970 | 6.28 births per woman in last 5 years | +9.8% |
| 1975 | 5.12 births per woman in last 5 years | -18.4% |
| 1980 | 3.02 births per woman in last 5 years | -41.0% |
| 1985 | 2.73 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.5% |
| 1990 | 2.63 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.6% |
| 1995 | 1.91 births per woman in last 5 years | -27.6% |
| 2000 | 1.54 births per woman in last 5 years | -19.1% |
| 2005 | 1.59 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.7% |
| 2010 | 1.67 births per woman in last 5 years | +5.3% |
| 2015 | 1.73 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.4% |
| 2020 | 1.66 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.8% |
| 2025 | 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years | -24.4% |
| 2030 | 1.16 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.0% |
| 2035 | 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.8% |
| 2040 | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | +1.3% |
| 2045 | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.3% |
| 2050 | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | +1.6% |
| 2055 | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.8% |
| 2060 | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.4% |
| 2065 | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.3% |
| 2070 | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.2% |
| 2075 | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.0% |
| 2080 | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.0% |
| 2085 | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.2% |
| 2090 | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.4% |
| 2095 | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.5% |
| 2100 | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.3% |
China compared with similar countries
- China's 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 0.93 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.3× the median. (55 countries reporting)
- China's 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 0.988 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.2× the median. (31 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in China changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | -41.0% | 5.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.02 births per woman in last 5 years |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 6.06 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.06 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.06 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 5.75 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.72 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.79 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 5.7 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.28 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 2.88 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.73 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.02 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 2.27 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.91 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.63 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 1.57 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.54 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.59 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 1.7 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.67 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.73 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 1.46 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.66 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.16 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near China
- 47 Chinese Taipei 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 48 Serbia 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 50 Belarus 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 50 Samoa 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 52 Hungary 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 52 Korea, Democratic People's Republic of 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for China
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 7.41 million (2024)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 7,020 (2021)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 21.58 million (2024)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 19.36 million (2024)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 97.98 million (2024)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 108.57 million (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate 0.9587 % change on previous year (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.0771 units per person (2024)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in China?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in China was 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in China?
- The highest recorded value was 6.28 births per woman in last 5 years in 1970.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in China?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years in 2035.
- How does China rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- China ranks 49th out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in China?
- Over the last ten years it is down 0.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is volatile.
- Where does this China data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).