Statizoid

Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario by country

Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).

Countries reporting
200
Highest
1.99 births per woman in last 5 years
Mayotte
Lowest
0.722 births per woman in last 5 years
Western Sahara
Median
0.931 births per woman in last 5 years
Years covered
146
1955–2100
Data points
6,000

What the numbers show

Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario is currently reported for 200 countries. The highest value is 1.99 births per woman in last 5 years in Mayotte; the lowest is 0.722 births per woman in last 5 years in Western Sahara.

The median across all reporting countries is 0.931 births per woman in last 5 years, and the mean is 1.02 births per woman in last 5 years.

The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 3.

Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Mayotte 1.99 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 10.6% falling
2 Israel 1.75 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.5% falling
3 Georgia 1.6 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.1% falling
4 Guadeloupe 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.0% volatile
5 Martinique 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.5% volatile
6 French Polynesia 1.47 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.0% volatile
7 Lithuania 1.47 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.7% falling
8 Iceland 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.5% falling
9 Finland 1.39 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.5% falling
10 Denmark 1.38 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.6% falling
11 Réunion 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.9% volatile
12 Albania 1.35 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.0% volatile
13 Norway 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.6% falling
14 Sweden 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.9% falling
15 France 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.5% falling
16 New Caledonia 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.8% volatile
17 Estonia 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.5% falling
18 Armenia 1.3 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.0% volatile
19 Poland 1.29 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.7% falling
20 Slovakia 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.9% falling
21 United States of America 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.3% falling
22 Ireland 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.1% falling
23 United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.7% falling
24 Republic of Moldova 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.5% falling
25 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.6% volatile
25 Netherlands 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.1% falling
27 Azerbaijan 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.1% volatile
28 Bulgaria 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.6% falling
29 Czechia 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.9% falling
29 Romania 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.0% falling
31 New Zealand 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.4% falling
32 Latvia 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.1% falling
32 Türkiye 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.1% volatile
34 Montenegro 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.4% falling
35 Slovenia 1.23 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.7% falling
36 Micronesia, Federated States of 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.7% volatile
36 Sudan 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.2% volatile
38 Croatia 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.1% falling
39 Belgium 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.4% falling
40 Portugal 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.8% falling
41 Russian Federation 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.0% falling
42 Canada 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.5% falling
43 Australia 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.7% falling
44 Luxembourg 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.5% falling
45 North Macedonia 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.8% volatile
45 Tonga 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.1% volatile
47 Chinese Taipei 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 0.4% volatile
48 Serbia 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.1% falling
49 China 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 0.8% volatile
50 Belarus 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.3% falling
50 Samoa 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.8% volatile
52 Hungary 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.2% falling
52 Korea, Democratic People's Republic of 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.3% falling
54 Greece 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.4% falling
55 Korea 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.6% volatile
55 Malta 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.7% falling
57 Switzerland 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.9% falling
58 Germany 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.6% falling
58 Iran, Islamic Republic of 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.0% volatile
60 Japan 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.1% falling
61 Spain 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.6% falling
61 Ukraine 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.7% falling
63 Fiji 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.6% volatile
64 Austria 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.9% falling
65 Italy 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 2.9% falling
66 Guyana 1.09 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.5% volatile
67 South Sudan 1.08 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.6% volatile
68 Cyprus 1.07 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.1% falling
69 Lesotho 1.05 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.0% volatile
70 El Salvador 1.04 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.3% volatile
71 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 1.02 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.1% volatile
72 Eswatini 1.01 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.9% volatile
73 Kiribati 0.995 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.2% volatile
74 Mongolia 0.992 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
74 Palestine, State of 0.992 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 7.2% volatile
74 Timor-Leste 0.992 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.5% volatile
77 Singapore 0.988 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.4% volatile
78 Hong Kong, China 0.981 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.3% volatile
79 Kyrgyzstan 0.978 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.1% volatile
80 Kazakhstan 0.976 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.4% falling
81 Guam 0.974 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.7% volatile
81 Zimbabwe 0.974 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
83 Sri Lanka 0.966 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.6% volatile
83 Trinidad and Tobago 0.966 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.9% volatile
85 Peru 0.964 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.0% volatile
85 Tunisia 0.964 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.9% volatile
87 Sao Tome and Principe 0.961 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.0% volatile
88 Morocco 0.955 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.8% volatile
88 Oman 0.955 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.9% volatile
90 Saudi Arabia 0.95 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.2% volatile
91 Philippines 0.948 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.9% volatile
92 Comoros 0.947 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.2% volatile
93 Macau, China 0.945 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 1.9% volatile
93 Nicaragua 0.945 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.4% volatile
95 Lao People's Democratic Republic 0.941 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.5% volatile
96 Afghanistan 0.939 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.5% volatile
97 Bolivia, Plurinational State of 0.934 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.1% volatile
97 Central African Republic 0.934 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 14.5% volatile
99 Yemen 0.933 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.2% volatile
100 Algeria 0.931 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.9% volatile
100 Pakistan 0.931 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
102 Cuba 0.93 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.9% volatile
102 Dominican Republic 0.93 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.6% volatile
102 Eritrea 0.93 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.5% volatile
105 Turkmenistan 0.926 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.9% volatile
106 Nigeria 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 17.8% volatile
106 Suriname 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.2% volatile
108 Colombia 0.922 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.2% volatile
109 Bangladesh 0.921 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.4% volatile
109 Indonesia 0.921 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.7% volatile
111 Viet Nam 0.919 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.0% volatile
112 Botswana 0.917 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.7% volatile
113 Paraguay 0.913 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.4% volatile
114 Libya 0.912 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.0% volatile
115 Tajikistan 0.911 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.2% volatile
116 Jamaica 0.91 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.6% volatile
117 Mexico 0.909 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.1% volatile
118 Egypt 0.908 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.7% volatile
118 Grenada 0.908 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
120 Haiti 0.905 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.6% volatile
120 India 0.905 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.1% volatile
122 Myanmar 0.904 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.9% volatile
123 Jordan 0.903 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.2% volatile
123 Nepal 0.903 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.2% volatile
125 Cameroon 0.902 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
125 Namibia 0.902 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.8% volatile
125 Uganda 0.902 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 9.7% volatile
128 Seychelles 0.901 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.7% volatile
129 Argentina 0.899 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.7% falling
129 Burundi 0.899 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 7.0% volatile
131 South Africa 0.896 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.6% volatile
132 Uzbekistan 0.895 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.6% volatile
133 Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of 0.891 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.1% volatile
134 Lebanon 0.89 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.7% volatile
134 United States Virgin Islands 0.89 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.6% volatile
136 French Guiana 0.889 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.3% volatile
137 Guinea-Bissau 0.882 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.4% volatile
137 Panama 0.882 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.4% volatile
139 Zambia 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.5% volatile
140 Guinea 0.879 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.9% volatile
140 Guatemala 0.879 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
140 Vanuatu 0.879 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.2% volatile
143 Gambia 0.878 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.8% volatile
144 Brazil 0.877 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.7% volatile
144 Senegal 0.877 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 7.6% volatile
146 Cape Verde 0.875 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.4% volatile
146 Saint Lucia 0.875 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.4% volatile
148 Ecuador 0.872 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.6% volatile
148 Mauritius 0.872 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.4% volatile
150 Barbados 0.871 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.9% volatile
150 Honduras 0.871 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
152 Chile 0.868 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.0% volatile
152 Côte d'Ivoire 0.868 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.2% volatile
154 United Arab Emirates 0.867 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.4% volatile
155 Kenya 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.3% volatile
156 Brunei Darussalam 0.864 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.9% volatile
157 Niger 0.863 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 18.1% volatile
158 Kuwait 0.86 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.4% volatile
158 Somalia 0.86 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 18.0% volatile
160 Mali 0.859 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 13.7% volatile
161 Solomon Islands 0.858 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.5% volatile
162 Ghana 0.857 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.3% volatile
162 Mauritania 0.857 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.3% volatile
162 Syrian Arab Republic 0.857 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.0% volatile
165 Bhutan 0.854 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.3% volatile
166 Gabon 0.853 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.3% volatile
166 Sierra Leone 0.853 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.3% volatile
166 Thailand 0.853 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.2% volatile
169 Uruguay 0.851 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.2% falling
170 Rwanda 0.848 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.6% volatile
171 Belize 0.846 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.9% volatile
172 Iraq 0.84 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.4% volatile
173 Malaysia 0.839 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.5% volatile
174 Bahamas 0.833 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.6% volatile
175 Tanzania, United Republic of 0.83 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 9.7% volatile
176 Malawi 0.827 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.7% volatile
177 Bahrain 0.821 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.8% volatile
178 Congo, Democratic Republic of the 0.82 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 16.5% volatile
178 Costa Rica 0.82 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 4.5% volatile
180 Liberia 0.819 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
181 Congo 0.818 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
182 Papua New Guinea 0.813 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.0% volatile
183 Chad 0.812 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 17.6% volatile
184 Angola 0.809 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 8.4% volatile
184 Puerto Rico 0.809 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.6% volatile
186 Burkina Faso 0.808 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 10.7% volatile
187 Djibouti 0.806 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.9% volatile
188 Maldives 0.804 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.0% volatile
189 Togo 0.803 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.5% volatile
190 Cambodia 0.799 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.6% volatile
191 Benin 0.798 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 9.8% volatile
192 Mozambique 0.796 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.9% volatile
193 Ethiopia 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.5% volatile
194 Aruba 0.789 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.7% volatile
195 Qatar 0.787 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.3% volatile
196 Antigua and Barbuda 0.771 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.6% volatile
197 Equatorial Guinea 0.769 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.0% volatile
198 Curaçao 0.766 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 3.9% volatile
199 Madagascar 0.765 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 5.6% volatile
200 Western Sahara 0.722 births per woman in last 5 years 2100 down 6.2% volatile

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Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario by country. Statizoid, drawing on Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Retrieved 09 September 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/projections-of-the-number-of-children-per-woman-by-education-scenario/

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About this data

Indicator
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario
Unit
births per woman in last 5 years
Source
Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
200 places, 6,000 data points, 1955–2100
Last refreshed

Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).