Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Iceland
Iceland: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ▼ Falling
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Iceland, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
Iceland recorded 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 3.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Iceland peaked at 4.14 births per woman in last 5 years in 1960 and was at its lowest, 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
Iceland ranks 8th of 200 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 30 years of available data.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Iceland, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 3.84 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 4.14 births per woman in last 5 years | +7.9% |
| 1965 | 4 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.5% |
| 1970 | 3.33 births per woman in last 5 years | -16.8% |
| 1975 | 2.89 births per woman in last 5 years | -13.3% |
| 1980 | 2.46 births per woman in last 5 years | -14.6% |
| 1985 | 2.28 births per woman in last 5 years | -7.4% |
| 1990 | 2.07 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.1% |
| 1995 | 2.21 births per woman in last 5 years | +6.7% |
| 2000 | 2.06 births per woman in last 5 years | -7.0% |
| 2005 | 2 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.9% |
| 2010 | 2.12 births per woman in last 5 years | +6.0% |
| 2015 | 2.02 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.4% |
| 2020 | 1.75 births per woman in last 5 years | -13.8% |
| 2025 | 1.68 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.8% |
| 2030 | 1.67 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.7% |
| 2035 | 1.66 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.4% |
| 2040 | 1.65 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.4% |
| 2045 | 1.68 births per woman in last 5 years | +1.8% |
| 2050 | 1.73 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.8% |
| 2055 | 1.69 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.3% |
| 2060 | 1.65 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.7% |
| 2065 | 1.61 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.1% |
| 2070 | 1.58 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.9% |
| 2075 | 1.55 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.6% |
| 2080 | 1.53 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.4% |
| 2085 | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.6% |
| 2090 | 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.7% |
| 2095 | 1.46 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.8% |
| 2100 | 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.7% |
Iceland compared with similar countries
- Iceland's 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for high income countries, which is 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.2× the median. (66 countries reporting)
- Iceland's 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.2× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 3.84 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.84 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.84 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 4.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 4 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.14 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 3.11 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.89 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.33 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 2.37 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.28 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.46 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 2.14 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 2.03 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.06 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 2.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.02 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 1.71 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.68 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.75 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 1.66 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.66 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.67 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 1.67 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.65 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.68 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.71 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.69 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.73 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.63 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.61 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.65 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.57 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.55 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.58 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 1.52 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.53 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 1.47 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.46 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near Iceland
- 5 Martinique 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 6 French Polynesia 1.47 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 7 Lithuania 1.47 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 9 Finland 1.39 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 10 Denmark 1.38 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 11 Réunion 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for Iceland
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 0 (2023)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 6,661 (2023)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 6,167 (2023)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 37,056 (2023)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 32,314 (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate -1.17 % change on previous year (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.0838 units per person (2023)
- Secondary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Iceland?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Iceland was 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Iceland?
- The highest recorded value was 4.14 births per woman in last 5 years in 1960.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Iceland?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does Iceland rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- Iceland ranks 8th out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in Iceland?
- Over the last ten years it is down 3.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Iceland data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).