Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Japan
Japan: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ▼ Falling
Latest (2100)
1.13 births per woman in last 5 years
World rank
60th
of 200 countries
All-time high
3.01 births per woman in last 5 years
in 1955
All-time low
1.13 births per woman in last 5 years
in 2100
Years of data
30
1955–2100
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Japan, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
The most recent figure for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Japan is 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years, measured in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 1.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Japan peaked at 3.01 births per woman in last 5 years in 1955 and was at its lowest, 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
That places Japan 60th out of 200 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 30 years of available data.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Japan, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 3.01 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 2.17 births per woman in last 5 years | -27.9% |
| 1965 | 2.02 births per woman in last 5 years | -6.7% |
| 1970 | 2.02 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.0% |
| 1975 | 2.1 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.8% |
| 1980 | 1.83 births per woman in last 5 years | -12.7% |
| 1985 | 1.74 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.3% |
| 1990 | 1.67 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.9% |
| 1995 | 1.5 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.0% |
| 2000 | 1.39 births per woman in last 5 years | -7.3% |
| 2005 | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.2% |
| 2010 | 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years | +1.1% |
| 2015 | 1.41 births per woman in last 5 years | +5.5% |
| 2020 | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.6% |
| 2025 | 1.3 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.9% |
| 2030 | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.4% |
| 2035 | 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.3% |
| 2040 | 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.6% |
| 2045 | 1.23 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.3% |
| 2050 | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.6% |
| 2055 | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.1% |
| 2060 | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.6% |
| 2065 | 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.0% |
| 2070 | 1.16 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.8% |
| 2075 | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.4% |
| 2080 | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.2% |
| 2085 | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.3% |
| 2090 | 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.5% |
| 2095 | 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.6% |
| 2100 | 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.5% |
Japan compared with similar countries
- Japan's 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years is below the median for high income countries, which is 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years, 98% of the median. (66 countries reporting)
- Japan's 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 0.988 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.1× the median. (31 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Japan changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1960 | -27.9% | 3.01 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.17 births per woman in last 5 years |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 3.01 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.01 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.01 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 2.09 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.02 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.17 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 2.06 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.02 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.1 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 1.78 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.74 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.83 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 1.58 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.5 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.67 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 1.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.41 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 1.34 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.3 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 1.29 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.23 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.16 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near Japan
- 57 Switzerland 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 58 Germany 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 58 Iran, Islamic Republic of 1.14 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 61 Spain 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 61 Ukraine 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 63 Fiji 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for Japan
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 627,777 (2023)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 0 (1999)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 1.50 million (1999)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 1.46 million (1999)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 6.61 million (2023)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 6.25 million (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate -1.01 % change on previous year (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.0502 units per person (2023)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Japan?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Japan was 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Japan?
- The highest recorded value was 3.01 births per woman in last 5 years in 1955.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Japan?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does Japan rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- Japan ranks 60th out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in Japan?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Japan data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).