Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Kenya
Kenya: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ◆ Volatile
Latest (2100)
0.866 births per woman in last 5 years
World rank
155th
of 200 countries
All-time high
8.04 births per woman in last 5 years
in 1970
All-time low
0.866 births per woman in last 5 years
in 2100
Years of data
30
1955–2100
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Kenya, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
In 2100, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Kenya stood at 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
That represents a change of down 6.3% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Kenya peaked at 8.04 births per woman in last 5 years in 1970 and was at its lowest, 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
That places Kenya 155th out of 200 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Kenya, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 7.39 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 7.56 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.3% |
| 1965 | 7.79 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.0% |
| 1970 | 8.04 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.2% |
| 1975 | 7.97 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.9% |
| 1980 | 7.79 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.3% |
| 1985 | 7.38 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.3% |
| 1990 | 6.67 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.7% |
| 1995 | 5.77 births per woman in last 5 years | -13.5% |
| 2000 | 5.27 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.6% |
| 2005 | 5 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.2% |
| 2010 | 4.68 births per woman in last 5 years | -6.3% |
| 2015 | 4.09 births per woman in last 5 years | -12.6% |
| 2020 | 3.64 births per woman in last 5 years | -11.0% |
| 2025 | 3.07 births per woman in last 5 years | -15.7% |
| 2030 | 2.6 births per woman in last 5 years | -15.2% |
| 2035 | 2.26 births per woman in last 5 years | -13.2% |
| 2040 | 1.97 births per woman in last 5 years | -13.0% |
| 2045 | 1.79 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.8% |
| 2050 | 1.64 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.9% |
| 2055 | 1.46 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.8% |
| 2060 | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.3% |
| 2065 | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.4% |
| 2070 | 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.5% |
| 2075 | 1.02 births per woman in last 5 years | -6.5% |
| 2080 | 0.98 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.4% |
| 2085 | 0.948 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.3% |
| 2090 | 0.924 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.5% |
| 2095 | 0.893 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.4% |
| 2100 | 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.0% |
Kenya compared with similar countries
- Kenya's 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 0.902 births per woman in last 5 years, 96% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Kenya's 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 0.87 births per woman in last 5 years, 100% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 7.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 7.67 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.56 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.79 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 8 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.97 births per woman in last 5 years | 8.04 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 7.58 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.38 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.79 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 6.22 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.77 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.67 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 5.13 births per woman in last 5 years | 5 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.27 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 4.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.09 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.68 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 3.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.64 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 2.43 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.26 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.6 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 1.88 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.79 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.97 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.55 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.46 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.64 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.06 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.02 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 0.964 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.948 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.98 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 0.9085 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.893 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.924 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near Kenya
- 152 Chile 0.868 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 152 Côte d'Ivoire 0.868 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 154 United Arab Emirates 0.867 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 156 Brunei Darussalam 0.864 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 157 Niger 0.863 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 158 Kuwait 0.86 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 158 Somalia 0.86 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for Kenya
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 168,396 (2023)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 235,728 (2016)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 1.44 million (2023)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 1.44 million (2023)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 6.74 million (2023)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 8.04 million (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate -0.7181 % change on previous year (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.1453 units per person (2023)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Kenya?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Kenya was 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Kenya?
- The highest recorded value was 8.04 births per woman in last 5 years in 1970.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Kenya?
- The lowest recorded value was 0.866 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does Kenya rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- Kenya ranks 155th out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in Kenya?
- Over the last ten years it is down 6.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is volatile.
- Where does this Kenya data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).