Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in New Zealand
New Zealand: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ▼ Falling
Latest (2100)
1.24 births per woman in last 5 years
World rank
31st
of 200 countries
All-time high
4.12 births per woman in last 5 years
in 1965
All-time low
1.24 births per woman in last 5 years
in 2100
Years of data
30
1955–2100
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in New Zealand, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
New Zealand recorded 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 3.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in New Zealand peaked at 4.12 births per woman in last 5 years in 1965 and was at its lowest, 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
New Zealand ranks 31st of 200 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 30 years of available data.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in New Zealand, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 3.65 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 4.04 births per woman in last 5 years | +10.6% |
| 1965 | 4.12 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.0% |
| 1970 | 3.38 births per woman in last 5 years | -17.7% |
| 1975 | 2.94 births per woman in last 5 years | -13.2% |
| 1980 | 2.21 births per woman in last 5 years | -24.8% |
| 1985 | 1.97 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.8% |
| 1990 | 2.03 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.0% |
| 1995 | 2.07 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.0% |
| 2000 | 1.95 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.7% |
| 2005 | 1.95 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.3% |
| 2010 | 2.09 births per woman in last 5 years | +7.3% |
| 2015 | 2.06 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.7% |
| 2020 | 1.87 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.1% |
| 2025 | 1.57 births per woman in last 5 years | -16.1% |
| 2030 | 1.53 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.3% |
| 2035 | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.6% |
| 2040 | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.5% |
| 2045 | 1.5 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.7% |
| 2050 | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.9% |
| 2055 | 1.47 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.6% |
| 2060 | 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.9% |
| 2065 | 1.4 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.2% |
| 2070 | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.8% |
| 2075 | 1.35 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.5% |
| 2080 | 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.4% |
| 2085 | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.7% |
| 2090 | 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.9% |
| 2095 | 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.9% |
| 2100 | 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.6% |
New Zealand compared with similar countries
- New Zealand's 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for high income countries, which is 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.1× the median. (66 countries reporting)
- New Zealand's 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 0.988 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.3× the median. (31 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 3.65 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.65 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.65 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 4.08 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.04 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 3.16 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.94 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.38 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 2.09 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.97 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 2.05 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.03 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 1.95 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.95 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.95 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 2.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.06 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.09 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 1.72 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.57 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.87 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 1.52 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.53 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.5 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.47 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.41 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.4 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.35 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near New Zealand
- 28 Bulgaria 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 29 Czechia 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 29 Romania 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 32 Latvia 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 32 Turkey 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 34 Montenegro 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for New Zealand
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 36,426 (2024)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 12,020 (1992)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 56,552 (2024)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 53,804 (2024)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 562,417 (2024)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 383,018 (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate 1.15 % change on previous year (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.0724 units per person (2024)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in New Zealand?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in New Zealand was 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in New Zealand?
- The highest recorded value was 4.12 births per woman in last 5 years in 1965.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in New Zealand?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does New Zealand rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- New Zealand ranks 31st out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in New Zealand?
- Over the last ten years it is down 3.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this New Zealand data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).