Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ▼ Falling
Latest (2100)
1.27 births per woman in last 5 years
World rank
23rd
of 200 countries
All-time high
2.88 births per woman in last 5 years
in 1965
All-time low
1.27 births per woman in last 5 years
in 2100
Years of data
30
1955–2100
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
The most recent figure for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland is 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years, measured in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
The figure is down 3.7% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland peaked at 2.88 births per woman in last 5 years in 1965 and was at its lowest, 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
That places United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 23rd out of 200 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 30 years of available data.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 2.24 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 2.48 births per woman in last 5 years | +10.8% |
| 1965 | 2.88 births per woman in last 5 years | +16.0% |
| 1970 | 2.71 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.8% |
| 1975 | 2.2 births per woman in last 5 years | -18.8% |
| 1980 | 1.77 births per woman in last 5 years | -19.4% |
| 1985 | 1.8 births per woman in last 5 years | +1.9% |
| 1990 | 1.8 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.2% |
| 1995 | 1.79 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.7% |
| 2000 | 1.71 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.3% |
| 2005 | 1.67 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.4% |
| 2010 | 1.85 births per woman in last 5 years | +10.6% |
| 2015 | 1.88 births per woman in last 5 years | +1.6% |
| 2020 | 1.73 births per woman in last 5 years | -7.7% |
| 2025 | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | -12.8% |
| 2030 | 1.5 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.9% |
| 2035 | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.3% |
| 2040 | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.1% |
| 2045 | 1.52 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.1% |
| 2050 | 1.58 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.5% |
| 2055 | 1.53 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.0% |
| 2060 | 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.4% |
| 2065 | 1.44 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.4% |
| 2070 | 1.42 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.9% |
| 2075 | 1.4 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.4% |
| 2080 | 1.38 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.4% |
| 2085 | 1.35 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.7% |
| 2090 | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.1% |
| 2095 | 1.3 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.0% |
| 2100 | 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.7% |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland compared with similar countries
- United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland's 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for high income countries, which is 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.1× the median. (66 countries reporting)
- United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland's 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.0× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 2.24 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.24 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.24 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 2.68 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.48 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.88 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 2.45 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.71 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 1.79 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.77 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.8 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 1.79 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.79 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.8 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 1.69 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.67 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.71 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 1.86 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.85 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.88 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 1.62 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.73 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.5 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.52 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.55 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.53 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.58 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.46 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.44 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.41 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.4 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.42 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 1.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.35 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.38 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.3 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
- 20 Slovakia 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 21 United States of America 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 22 Ireland 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 24 Republic of Moldova 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 25 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 25 Netherlands 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 388,714 (2023)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 0 (2012)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 830,495 (2023)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 790,556 (2023)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 6.40 million (2023)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 4.86 million (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate -0.0111 % change on previous year (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.071 units per person (2023)
All data for United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland →
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland was 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland?
- The highest recorded value was 2.88 births per woman in last 5 years in 1965.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland ranks 23rd out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland?
- Over the last ten years it is down 3.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).