Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Zambia
Zambia: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ◆ Volatile
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Zambia, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
In 2100, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Zambia stood at 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
That represents a change of down 5.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Zambia peaked at 7.38 births per woman in last 5 years in 1975 and was at its lowest, 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
That places Zambia 139th out of 200 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the middle of the range.
The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Zambia, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 6.68 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 6.93 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.7% |
| 1965 | 7.21 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.9% |
| 1970 | 7.32 births per woman in last 5 years | +1.6% |
| 1975 | 7.38 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.9% |
| 1980 | 7.32 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.8% |
| 1985 | 7.06 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.5% |
| 1990 | 6.76 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.2% |
| 1995 | 6.39 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.6% |
| 2000 | 6.12 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.3% |
| 2005 | 5.8 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.1% |
| 2010 | 5.6 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.5% |
| 2015 | 5.14 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.2% |
| 2020 | 4.62 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.1% |
| 2025 | 3.81 births per woman in last 5 years | -17.5% |
| 2030 | 3.12 births per woman in last 5 years | -18.1% |
| 2035 | 2.65 births per woman in last 5 years | -15.1% |
| 2040 | 2.26 births per woman in last 5 years | -14.7% |
| 2045 | 2.02 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.5% |
| 2050 | 1.81 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.6% |
| 2055 | 1.62 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.4% |
| 2060 | 1.47 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.6% |
| 2065 | 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.9% |
| 2070 | 1.23 births per woman in last 5 years | -7.8% |
| 2075 | 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.4% |
| 2080 | 1.02 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.2% |
| 2085 | 0.967 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.6% |
| 2090 | 0.931 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.7% |
| 2095 | 0.901 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.2% |
| 2100 | 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.3% |
Zambia compared with similar countries
- Zambia's 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 0.902 births per woman in last 5 years, 98% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Zambia's 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 0.87 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.0× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 6.68 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.68 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.68 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 7.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.93 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 7.35 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.38 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 7.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.06 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 6.58 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.76 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 5.96 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.8 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 5.37 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.14 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.6 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 4.22 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.81 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.62 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 2.89 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.65 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 2.14 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.02 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.26 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.71 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.62 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.81 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.4 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.47 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.23 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 0.9955 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.967 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.02 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 0.916 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.901 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.931 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near Zambia
- 136 French Guiana 0.889 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 137 Guinea-Bissau 0.882 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 137 Panama 0.882 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 140 Guatemala 0.879 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 140 Guinea 0.879 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 140 Vanuatu 0.879 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for Zambia
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 42,585 (2024)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 169,961 (2013)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 1.39 million (2024)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 4.49 million (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate 2.55 % change on previous year (2017)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0.0002 units per US$ of GDP (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.2106 units per person (2024)
- Secondary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Enrolment in primary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 4.49 million (2024)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Zambia?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Zambia was 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Zambia?
- The highest recorded value was 7.38 births per woman in last 5 years in 1975.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Zambia?
- The lowest recorded value was 0.88 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does Zambia rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- Zambia ranks 139th out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in Zambia?
- Over the last ten years it is down 5.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is volatile.
- Where does this Zambia data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).