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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario) by country

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual...

Countries reporting
182
Highest
52.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Mali
Lowest
0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Samoa
Median
0.7043 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Years covered
41
2000–2040
Data points
7,228

What the numbers show

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario) is currently reported for 182 countries. The highest value is 52.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Mali; the lowest is 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Samoa.

The median across all reporting countries is 0.7043 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, and the mean is 5.71 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.

Over the past decade 1 countries rose and 175 fell. The largest increase was in North Korea (up 12.1%), and the largest decrease in Fiji (down 100.0%).

Africa's Development: Projected youth education … less than medium: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Mali 52.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.6% falling
1 Ethiopia 31.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.1% falling
2 Niger 51.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.3% falling
2 Mauritania 21.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.1% falling
3 Burkina Faso 37.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.6% falling
3 Madagascar 20.77 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.7% falling
4 Benin 35.34 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.8% falling
5 Afghanistan 33.75 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.7% falling
6 Yemen 33.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.1% falling
7 South Sudan 32.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.2% falling
7 Cabo Verde 14.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.3% falling
8 Mozambique 30.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.9% falling
9 Guinea 30.38 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.5% falling
10 Chad 29.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.9% falling
11 Somalia 29.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.1% falling
12 Sierra Leone 26.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.0% falling
13 Rwanda 26.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.8% falling
14 Angola 24.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.0% falling
15 Eritrea 22.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.4% falling
15 Lesotho 4.97 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.6% falling
16 Djibouti 22.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.6% falling
17 Senegal 21.42 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.1% falling
18 Côte d’Ivoire 21.22 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.4% falling
19 Gambia 20.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.2% falling
20 Guinea-Bissau 19.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.7% falling
21 Togo 19.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.2% falling
21 Equatorial Guinea 0.8269 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 57.9% volatile
22 Bhutan 17.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.0% falling
22 Eswatini 0.6629 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 63.1% volatile
23 Burundi 17.41 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 33.3% falling
23 Croatia 0.4387 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 10.1% flat
24 Liberia 17.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.5% falling
24 Syrian Arab Republic 6.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.3% falling
24 Moldova 0.2091 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.3% falling
25 Pakistan 12.08 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.1% falling
26 Uganda 11.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.9% falling
27 Malawi 11.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.5% falling
27 Democratic Republic of the Congo 4.76 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.1% falling
27 Fiji 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 100.0% volatile
28 Guatemala 11.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.1% falling
29 Bangladesh 10.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.4% falling
30 Haiti 9.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 43.0% falling
31 Honduras 9.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.9% falling
31 Timor-Leste 3.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 56.1% volatile
32 Nigeria 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.3% falling
32 Viet Nam 1.41 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.8% volatile
33 Nicaragua 8.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.4% falling
34 Ghana 7.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.8% falling
35 Sudan 6.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 55.8% falling
35 Latvia 0.7836 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.6% rising
36 Myanmar 6.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.7% falling
37 Zambia 6.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 43.5% falling
38 Kuwait 5.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.9% volatile
38 Netherlands 0.6017 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.4% falling
39 India 5.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 43.9% falling
39 Estonia 0.5786 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.6% volatile
40 Nepal 5.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 48.3% falling
41 Sao Tome and Principe 5.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 52.5% falling
42 Belize 5.08 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.6% falling
43 Comoros 5.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.3% falling
44 Cambodia 4.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 49.1% falling
44 Slovenia 0.366 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.9% volatile
45 El Salvador 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 43.9% falling
45 Lithuania 0.337 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.0% falling
46 Laos 4.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.4% falling
46 Türkiye 0.2067 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 61.8% volatile
47 Iraq 4.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.3% falling
47 Poland 0.0497 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 35.6% volatile
48 Vanuatu 3.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 48.3% falling
48 Micronesia 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 100.0% volatile
49 Central African Republic 3.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 54.5% volatile
50 Qatar 3.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.6% falling
51 Solomon Islands 3.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.3% falling
52 Papua New Guinea 3.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.2% falling
53 Jordan 2.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.7% falling
54 Mauritius 2.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 40.4% volatile
55 United Arab Emirates 2.39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.9% volatile
56 Bahrain 2.38 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.7% volatile
57 Cameroon 2.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 54.5% volatile
58 Tanzania 2.29 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 49.5% volatile
59 Maldives 2.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.3% falling
60 Oman 2.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 48.3% volatile
61 Namibia 1.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 57.3% falling
62 Dominican Republic 1.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 54.4% volatile
63 Morocco 1.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 64.9% volatile
64 Paraguay 1.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.3% falling
65 Kenya 1.61 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 51.8% volatile
66 Ecuador 1.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.6% falling
67 Brazil 1.49 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 51.0% falling
68 Costa Rica 1.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.5% falling
69 Kiribati 1.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 55.3% falling
70 Colombia 1.29 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 52.1% falling
71 Bolivia 1.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 44.1% volatile
72 Luxembourg 0.993 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.2% volatile
73 Libya 0.9327 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 64.1% volatile
74 Switzerland 0.899 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.3% rising
75 Panama 0.8825 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.7% falling
76 Gabon 0.8402 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 57.7% volatile
77 Singapore 0.7701 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.3% falling
78 Sri Lanka 0.7441 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 55.4% falling
79 Venezuela 0.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 51.6% volatile
80 Congo 0.7129 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 60.6% volatile
81 Argentina 0.6957 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.6% falling
82 Mexico 0.6759 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 54.8% volatile
83 Egypt 0.6726 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 68.3% volatile
84 Thailand 0.6547 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 52.1% volatile
85 New Zealand 0.6435 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.2% falling
86 Austria 0.6187 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.4% volatile
87 Germany 0.6182 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.4% volatile
88 Brunei Darussalam 0.5888 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 33.7% falling
89 Peru 0.5686 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 57.3% volatile
90 Bulgaria 0.5405 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.4% falling
91 Zimbabwe 0.526 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 53.3% volatile
92 France 0.5121 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.1% falling
93 Canada 0.51 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.3% rising
94 United States 0.508 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.7% falling
95 Lebanon 0.4916 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.7% falling
96 Ireland 0.4899 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.7% rising
97 Sweden 0.4773 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.6% volatile
98 Portugal 0.4768 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 33.4% volatile
99 OECD 0.4714 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.5% falling
100 Australia 0.4696 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.4% volatile
101 Greece 0.415 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.6% falling
102 Saudi Arabia 0.4056 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.6% volatile
103 Norway 0.3889 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.5% rising
104 United Kingdom 0.3615 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.6% volatile
105 Israel 0.3609 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.0% volatile
106 Cyprus 0.3604 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.7% flat
107 Spain 0.3492 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.6% falling
108 Iran 0.3419 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 58.1% volatile
109 Philippines 0.3395 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 63.5% volatile
110 South Africa 0.3342 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 63.5% volatile
111 Romania 0.3189 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.6% falling
112 Denmark 0.3021 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.1% volatile
113 Belarus 0.268 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.1% rising
114 Italy 0.263 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.5% falling
115 Armenia 0.2628 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.2% rising
116 Hungary 0.2591 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.6% falling
117 Belgium 0.2557 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.1% volatile
118 Ukraine 0.241 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.0% flat
119 Suriname 0.2358 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.5% volatile
120 Barbados 0.2326 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.4% volatile
121 Russia 0.2284 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.9% falling
122 Georgia 0.225 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.6% falling
123 Bahamas 0.225 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 52.8% falling
124 Czechia 0.207 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.0% falling
125 Malaysia 0.2063 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.5% volatile
126 Montenegro 0.1942 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 44.7% volatile
127 Kazakhstan 0.1895 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.5% falling
128 Chile 0.165 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 59.5% volatile
129 North Macedonia 0.1637 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 55.5% volatile
130 Malta 0.1575 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.0% volatile
131 Botswana 0.1499 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 62.7% volatile
132 Iceland 0.1477 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 1.0% volatile
133 Indonesia 0.1437 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 65.9% volatile
134 Finland 0.1399 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 25.5% volatile
135 Uruguay 0.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 61.6% volatile
136 Mongolia 0.1058 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 67.2% volatile
137 Albania 0.1006 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 58.0% volatile
138 Trinidad and Tobago 0.0897 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 53.4% volatile
139 Japan 0.0774 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.9% rising
140 Kyrgyzstan 0.0762 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.8% volatile
141 Serbia 0.0632 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.7% volatile
142 Azerbaijan 0.0631 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.1% falling
143 Guyana 0.0611 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 76.9% volatile
144 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.0576 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.5% volatile
145 China 0.0566 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 81.9% volatile
146 Tunisia 0.0507 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 74.4% volatile
147 Uzbekistan 0.0496 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.1% volatile
148 Turkmenistan 0.0417 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.8% volatile
149 Tajikistan 0.0249 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.1% volatile
150 Algeria 0.021 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 88.0% volatile
151 Cuba 0.0065 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 71.5% volatile
152 North Korea 0.0064 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 12.1% falling
153 Antigua and Barbuda 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 100.0% volatile
153 Grenada 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
153 Jamaica 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 100.0% volatile
153 Saint Lucia 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
153 Seychelles 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
153 Tonga 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
153 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
153 Samoa 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth by country. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 07 October 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-4/

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<a href="https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-4/">Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth by country</a> — Statizoid

About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.