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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario) by country

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual...

Countries reporting
165
Highest
52.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Mali
Lowest
0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Samoa
Median
0.7441 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Years covered
41
2000–2040
Data points
7,228

What the numbers show

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario) is currently reported for 165 countries. The highest value is 52.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Mali; the lowest is 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in Samoa.

The median across all reporting countries is 0.7441 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, and the mean is 5.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.

Over the past decade 1 countries rose and 158 fell. The largest increase was in Korea, Democratic People's Republic of (up 12.1%), and the largest decrease in Antigua and Barbuda (down 100.0%).

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Mali 52.56 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 15.6% falling
2 Niger 51.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.3% falling
3 Burkina Faso 37.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.6% falling
4 Benin 35.34 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.8% falling
5 Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of 33.75 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.7% falling
6 Yemen, Republic of 33.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.1% falling
7 South Sudan, Republic of 32.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.2% falling
8 Mozambique, Republic of 30.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 26.9% falling
9 Guinea 30.38 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.5% falling
10 Chad 29.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.9% falling
11 Somalia 29.25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.1% falling
12 Sierra Leone 26.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.0% falling
13 Rwanda 26.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.8% falling
14 Angola 24.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.0% falling
15 Eritrea, The State of 22.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.4% falling
16 Djibouti 22.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.6% falling
17 Senegal 21.42 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.1% falling
18 Côte d’Ivoire 21.22 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.4% falling
19 Gambia, The 20.67 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.2% falling
20 Guinea-Bissau 19.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.7% falling
21 Togo 19.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.2% falling
22 Bhutan 17.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.0% falling
23 Africa, fragile states 17.42 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.1% falling
24 Burundi 17.41 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 33.3% falling
25 Liberia 17.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 31.5% falling
26 Pakistan 12.08 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.1% falling
27 Uganda 11.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.9% falling
28 Malawi 11.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.5% falling
29 Guatemala 11.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.1% falling
30 Bangladesh 10.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.4% falling
31 Haiti 9.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 43.0% falling
32 Honduras 9.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.9% falling
33 Nigeria 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.3% falling
34 Nicaragua 8.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.4% falling
35 Resource-rich countries 8.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.1% falling
36 East African Community 7.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.7% falling
37 Ghana 7.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.8% falling
38 Sudan 6.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 55.8% falling
39 Myanmar 6.64 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.7% falling
40 Zambia 6.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 43.5% falling
41 Kuwait 5.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.9% volatile
42 India 5.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 43.9% falling
43 Nepal 5.21 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 48.3% falling
44 São Tomé and Príncipe, Democratic Republic of 5.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 52.5% falling
45 Belize 5.08 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.6% falling
46 Comoros, Union of the 5.02 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.3% falling
47 Cambodia 4.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 49.1% falling
48 El Salvador 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 43.9% falling
49 Lao People's Democratic Republic 4.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.4% falling
50 Iraq 4.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.3% falling
51 Vanuatu 3.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 48.3% falling
52 Central African Republic 3.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 54.5% volatile
53 World outside Africa 3.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.5% falling
54 Qatar 3.66 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 38.6% falling
55 Solomon Islands 3.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.3% falling
56 Papua New Guinea 3.05 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.2% falling
57 Jordan 2.87 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.7% falling
58 Mauritius 2.48 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 40.4% volatile
59 United Arab Emirates 2.39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.9% volatile
60 Bahrain, Kingdom of 2.38 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.7% volatile
61 Cameroon 2.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 54.5% volatile
62 Tanzania, United Republic of 2.29 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 49.5% volatile
63 Maldives 2.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.3% falling
64 Oman 2.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 48.3% volatile
65 Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) 2.08 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.0% falling
66 Namibia 1.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 57.3% falling
67 Dominican Republic 1.84 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 54.4% volatile
68 Morocco 1.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 64.9% volatile
69 Paraguay 1.65 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.3% falling
70 Kenya 1.61 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 51.8% volatile
71 Ecuador 1.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.6% falling
72 Brazil 1.49 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 51.0% falling
73 Costa Rica 1.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.5% falling
74 Kiribati 1.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 55.3% falling
75 Colombia 1.29 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 52.1% falling
76 Bolivia 1.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 44.1% volatile
77 Luxembourg 0.993 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.2% volatile
78 Libya 0.9327 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 64.1% volatile
79 Switzerland 0.899 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.3% rising
80 Panama 0.8825 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.7% falling
81 Gabon 0.8402 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 57.7% volatile
82 Singapore 0.7701 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.3% falling
83 Sri Lanka 0.7441 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 55.4% falling
84 Venezuela, República Bolivariana de 0.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 51.6% volatile
85 Congo, Republic of 0.7129 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 60.6% volatile
86 Argentina 0.6957 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.6% falling
87 Mexico 0.6759 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 54.8% volatile
88 Egypt, Arab Republic of 0.6726 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 68.3% volatile
89 Thailand 0.6547 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 52.1% volatile
90 New Zealand 0.6435 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.2% falling
91 Austria 0.6187 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.4% volatile
92 Germany 0.6182 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.4% volatile
93 Brunei Darussalam 0.5888 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 33.7% falling
94 Peru 0.5686 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 57.3% volatile
95 Bulgaria 0.5405 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.4% falling
96 Zimbabwe 0.526 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 53.3% volatile
97 France 0.5121 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.1% falling
98 Canada 0.51 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.3% rising
99 United States 0.508 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 27.7% falling
100 Lebanon 0.4916 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.7% falling
101 Ireland 0.4899 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 22.7% rising
102 Sweden 0.4773 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.6% volatile
103 Portugal 0.4768 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 33.4% volatile
104 OECD 0.4714 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.5% falling
105 Australia 0.4696 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 29.4% volatile
106 Greece 0.415 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.6% falling
107 Saudi Arabia 0.4056 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 50.6% volatile
108 Norway 0.3889 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.5% rising
109 United Kingdom 0.3615 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 21.6% volatile
110 Israel 0.3609 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 36.0% volatile
111 Cyprus 0.3604 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 37.7% flat
112 Spain 0.3492 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.6% falling
113 Iran, Islamic Republic of 0.3419 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 58.1% volatile
114 Philippines 0.3395 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 63.5% volatile
115 South Africa 0.3342 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 63.5% volatile
116 Romania 0.3189 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.6% falling
117 Denmark 0.3021 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 17.1% volatile
118 Belarus, Republic of 0.268 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.1% rising
119 Italy 0.263 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.5% falling
120 Armenia, Republic of 0.2628 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 19.2% rising
121 Hungary 0.2591 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.6% falling
122 Belgium 0.2557 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.1% volatile
123 Ukraine 0.241 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 16.0% flat
124 Suriname 0.2358 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 46.5% volatile
125 Barbados 0.2326 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 39.4% volatile
126 Russian Federation 0.2284 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.9% falling
127 Georgia 0.225 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 28.6% falling
128 Bahamas, The 0.225 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 52.8% falling
129 Czechia 0.207 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.0% falling
130 Malaysia 0.2063 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 45.5% volatile
131 Montenegro 0.1942 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 44.7% volatile
132 Kazakhstan, Republic of 0.1895 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 23.5% falling
133 Chile 0.165 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 59.5% volatile
134 North Macedonia, Republic of 0.1637 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 55.5% volatile
135 Malta 0.1575 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 3.0% volatile
136 Botswana 0.1499 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 62.7% volatile
137 Iceland 0.1477 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 1.0% volatile
138 Indonesia 0.1437 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 65.9% volatile
139 Finland 0.1399 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 25.5% volatile
140 Uruguay 0.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 61.6% volatile
141 Mongolia 0.1058 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 67.2% volatile
142 Albania 0.1006 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 58.0% volatile
143 Trinidad and Tobago 0.0897 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 53.4% volatile
144 Japan 0.0774 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 6.9% rising
145 Kyrgyz Republic 0.0762 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 32.8% volatile
146 Serbia, Republic of 0.0632 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 47.7% volatile
147 Azerbaijan, Republic of 0.0631 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 20.1% falling
148 Guyana 0.0611 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 76.9% volatile
149 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.0576 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 18.5% volatile
150 China (People’s Republic of) 0.0566 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 81.9% volatile
151 Tunisia 0.0507 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 74.4% volatile
152 Uzbekistan, Republic of 0.0496 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 24.1% volatile
153 Turkmenistan 0.0417 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 30.8% volatile
154 Tajikistan, Republic of 0.0249 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 34.1% volatile
155 Algeria 0.021 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 88.0% volatile
156 Cuba 0.0065 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 71.5% volatile
157 Korea, Democratic People's Republic of 0.0064 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 up 12.1% falling
158 Antigua and Barbuda 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 100.0% volatile
158 Grenada 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
158 Jamaica 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 down 100.0% volatile
158 St. Lucia 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
158 Seychelles 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
158 Tonga 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
158 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile
158 Samoa 0 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 2040 — volatile

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

  • Ethiopia 31.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Mauritania 21.46 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Madagascar 20.77 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Least Developed Countries 19.43 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Lesotho 4.97 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Equatorial Guinea 0.8269 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Latvia 0.7836 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Eswatini 0.6629 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Netherlands 0.6017 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Estonia 0.5786 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Croatia 0.4387 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
  • Slovenia 0.366 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth by country. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 19 August 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-4/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. <br><br> Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.