Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Nigeria

Nigeria: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth was 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040. ▼ Falling

Latest (2040)
8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
World rank
32nd
of 160 countries
All-time high
38.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
in 2000
All-time low
8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
in 2040
Years of data
32
2000–2040

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Nigeria, 2000–2040

102030402000202020402000: 38.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2001: 38.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2002: 37.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2003: 37.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2004: 36.6 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2005: 36 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2006: 35.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2007: 34.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2008: 34.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2009: 33.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2010: 33.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2011: 32.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2012: 32.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2013: 31.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2014: 31.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2015: 30.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2016: 29.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2017: 27.9 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2018: 26.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2019: 25 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2020: 23.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2021: 22.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2022: 20.5 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2023: 19.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2024: 17.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2025: 16.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2026: 15.7 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2027: 15.1 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2028: 14.4 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2029: 13.8 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2030: 13.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years2040: 8.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Percentage of population aged 15-29 years.

Analysis

The most recent figure for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Nigeria is 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, measured in 2040. That is the lowest value across all 32 years on record.

The figure is down 38.3% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Nigeria peaked at 38.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2000 and was at its lowest, 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years, in 2040.

Nigeria ranks 32nd of 160 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 32 years of available data.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Nigeria, year by year

Annual values for Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario) in Nigeria, 2000 to 2040.
Year Percentage of population aged 15-29 years Change
2000 38.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
2001 38.3 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.4%
2002 37.73 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.5%
2003 37.15 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.5%
2004 36.57 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.6%
2005 35.98 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.6%
2006 35.45 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.5%
2007 34.92 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.5%
2008 34.37 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.6%
2009 33.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.6%
2010 33.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.6%
2011 32.81 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.4%
2012 32.35 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.4%
2013 31.88 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.4%
2014 31.41 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.5%
2015 30.94 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -1.5%
2016 29.39 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -5.0%
2017 27.89 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -5.1%
2018 26.43 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -5.2%
2019 25.03 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -5.3%
2020 23.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -5.4%
2021 22.07 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -6.8%
2022 20.54 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -6.9%
2023 19.09 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -7.1%
2024 17.72 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -7.2%
2025 16.43 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -7.3%
2026 15.74 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -4.2%
2027 15.08 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -4.2%
2028 14.44 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -4.3%
2029 13.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -4.3%
2030 13.22 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -4.3%
2040 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years -38.3%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 36.32 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 33.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 38.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 10
2010s 30.14 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 25.03 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 33.27 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 10
2020s 17.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 13.82 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 23.68 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 10
2030s 13.22 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 13.22 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 13.22 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 1
2040s 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years 1

Countries ranked near Nigeria

  1. 29 Bangladesh 10.2 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  2. 30 Haiti 9.83 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  3. 31 Honduras 9.69 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  4. 33 Nicaragua 8.11 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  5. 34 Ghana 7.06 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare
  6. 35 Sudan 6.91 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years compare

See the full ranking of 235 places →

More education data for Nigeria

All data for Nigeria →

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Nigeria?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth in Nigeria was 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth recorded in Nigeria?
The highest recorded value was 38.86 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2000.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth recorded in Nigeria?
The lowest recorded value was 8.16 Percentage of population aged 15-29 years in 2040.
How does Nigeria rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth?
Nigeria ranks 32nd out of 160 countries with data for 2040.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 39 - projected youth rising or falling in Nigeria?
Over the last ten years it is down 38.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Nigeria data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth in Nigeria. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 22 August 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-39-projected-youth-education-profiles-population-4/nigeria/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 39 - Projected youth education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15-29 years
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected youth population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.