Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Estonia
Estonia: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ▼ Falling
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Estonia, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
In 2100, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Estonia stood at 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
The figure is down 2.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Estonia peaked at 2.25 births per woman in last 5 years in 1955 and was at its lowest, 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
Estonia ranks 17th of 200 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 30 years of available data.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Estonia, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 2.25 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 2 births per woman in last 5 years | -11.1% |
| 1965 | 1.95 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.6% |
| 1970 | 1.96 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.6% |
| 1975 | 2.12 births per woman in last 5 years | +8.1% |
| 1980 | 2.04 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.0% |
| 1985 | 2.1 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.1% |
| 1990 | 2.21 births per woman in last 5 years | +5.3% |
| 1995 | 1.69 births per woman in last 5 years | -23.5% |
| 2000 | 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years | -21.4% |
| 2005 | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.2% |
| 2010 | 1.64 births per woman in last 5 years | +19.6% |
| 2015 | 1.59 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.0% |
| 2020 | 1.62 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.0% |
| 2025 | 1.62 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.2% |
| 2030 | 1.56 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.8% |
| 2035 | 1.56 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.1% |
| 2040 | 1.53 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.6% |
| 2045 | 1.52 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.7% |
| 2050 | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.0% |
| 2055 | 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.1% |
| 2060 | 1.44 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.6% |
| 2065 | 1.42 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.8% |
| 2070 | 1.4 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.3% |
| 2075 | 1.38 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.9% |
| 2080 | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.7% |
| 2085 | 1.36 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.0% |
| 2090 | 1.34 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.3% |
| 2095 | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.4% |
| 2100 | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.1% |
Estonia compared with similar countries
- Estonia's 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for high income countries, which is 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.1× the median. (66 countries reporting)
- Estonia's 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.1× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 2.25 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.25 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.25 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 1.98 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.95 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 2.04 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.96 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 2.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.04 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.1 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 1.95 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.69 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 1.35 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 1.62 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.59 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.64 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 1.62 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.62 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.62 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 1.56 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.56 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.56 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 1.53 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.52 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.53 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.49 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.51 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.43 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.42 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.44 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.38 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.4 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.37 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.34 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near Estonia
- 14 Sweden 1.33 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 15 France 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 16 New Caledonia 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 18 Armenia 1.3 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 19 Poland 1.29 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 20 Slovakia 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for Estonia
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 9,391 (2021)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 706 (2024)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 27,252 (2012)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 25,046 (2012)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 103,245 (2024)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 89,246 (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate -1.17 % change on previous year (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.065 units per person (2024)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Estonia?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Estonia was 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Estonia?
- The highest recorded value was 2.25 births per woman in last 5 years in 1955.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Estonia?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does Estonia rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- Estonia ranks 17th out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in Estonia?
- Over the last ten years it is down 2.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Estonia data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).