Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Ethiopia
Ethiopia: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ◆ Volatile
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Ethiopia, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
Ethiopia recorded 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 6.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Ethiopia peaked at 7.37 births per woman in last 5 years in 1985 and was at its lowest, 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
Ethiopia ranks 193rd of 200 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Ethiopia, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 7.2 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 6.93 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.8% |
| 1965 | 6.87 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.8% |
| 1970 | 6.89 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.2% |
| 1975 | 7.05 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.4% |
| 1980 | 7.24 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.6% |
| 1985 | 7.37 births per woman in last 5 years | +1.8% |
| 1990 | 7.33 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.5% |
| 1995 | 7.16 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.3% |
| 2000 | 6.84 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.5% |
| 2005 | 6.35 births per woman in last 5 years | -7.1% |
| 2010 | 5.71 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.1% |
| 2015 | 4.9 births per woman in last 5 years | -14.2% |
| 2020 | 4.41 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.9% |
| 2025 | 3.7 births per woman in last 5 years | -16.1% |
| 2030 | 2.99 births per woman in last 5 years | -19.3% |
| 2035 | 2.51 births per woman in last 5 years | -15.9% |
| 2040 | 2.14 births per woman in last 5 years | -14.9% |
| 2045 | 1.91 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.5% |
| 2050 | 1.72 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.1% |
| 2055 | 1.54 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.4% |
| 2060 | 1.39 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.9% |
| 2065 | 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.6% |
| 2070 | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.5% |
| 2075 | 1.03 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.8% |
| 2080 | 0.943 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.9% |
| 2085 | 0.886 births per woman in last 5 years | -6.0% |
| 2090 | 0.846 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.5% |
| 2095 | 0.814 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.8% |
| 2100 | 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.8% |
Ethiopia compared with similar countries
- Ethiopia's 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years is below the median for low income countries, which is 0.86 births per woman in last 5 years, 92% of the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Ethiopia's 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 0.87 births per woman in last 5 years, 91% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 7.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 6.9 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.87 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.93 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 6.97 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.89 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.05 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 7.3 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.24 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.37 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 7.25 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.16 births per woman in last 5 years | 7.33 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 6.59 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.35 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.84 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 5.3 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.9 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.71 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 4.06 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.7 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.41 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 2.75 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.51 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.99 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 2.03 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.91 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.14 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.63 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.54 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.72 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.09 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.03 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 0.9145 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.886 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.943 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 0.83 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.814 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.846 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near Ethiopia
- 190 Cambodia 0.799 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 191 Benin 0.798 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 192 Mozambique 0.796 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 194 Aruba 0.789 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 195 Qatar 0.787 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 196 Antigua and Barbuda 0.771 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for Ethiopia
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 272,545 (2024)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 900,151 (2024)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 2.32 million (2024)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 2.16 million (2024)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 5.03 million (2015)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 15.93 million (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate 2.45 % change on previous year (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2024)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.1206 units per person (2024)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Ethiopia?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Ethiopia was 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Ethiopia?
- The highest recorded value was 7.37 births per woman in last 5 years in 1985.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Ethiopia?
- The lowest recorded value was 0.791 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does Ethiopia rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- Ethiopia ranks 193rd out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in Ethiopia?
- Over the last ten years it is down 6.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is volatile.
- Where does this Ethiopia data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).