Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Italy
Italy: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ▼ Falling
Latest (2100)
1.1 births per woman in last 5 years
World rank
65th
of 200 countries
All-time high
2.53 births per woman in last 5 years
in 1970
All-time low
1.1 births per woman in last 5 years
in 2100
Years of data
30
1955–2100
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Italy, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
Italy recorded 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
That represents a change of down 2.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Italy peaked at 2.53 births per woman in last 5 years in 1970 and was at its lowest, 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
Italy ranks 65th of 200 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 30 years of available data.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Italy, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 2.36 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 2.33 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.3% |
| 1965 | 2.48 births per woman in last 5 years | +6.5% |
| 1970 | 2.53 births per woman in last 5 years | +1.8% |
| 1975 | 2.35 births per woman in last 5 years | -7.2% |
| 1980 | 1.94 births per woman in last 5 years | -17.1% |
| 1985 | 1.55 births per woman in last 5 years | -20.4% |
| 1990 | 1.36 births per woman in last 5 years | -12.3% |
| 1995 | 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.7% |
| 2000 | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.4% |
| 2005 | 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years | +5.7% |
| 2010 | 1.4 births per woman in last 5 years | +9.4% |
| 2015 | 1.41 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.9% |
| 2020 | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | -7.2% |
| 2025 | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | -7.6% |
| 2030 | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.7% |
| 2035 | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.2% |
| 2040 | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.7% |
| 2045 | 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years | +3.0% |
| 2050 | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | +4.9% |
| 2055 | 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.7% |
| 2060 | 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.1% |
| 2065 | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.2% |
| 2070 | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.7% |
| 2075 | 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.2% |
| 2080 | 1.16 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.9% |
| 2085 | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.1% |
| 2090 | 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.5% |
| 2095 | 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.7% |
| 2100 | 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years | -1.3% |
Italy compared with similar countries
- Italy's 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years is below the median for high income countries, which is 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years, 96% of the median. (66 countries reporting)
- Italy's 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years, 89% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 2.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 2.41 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.33 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.48 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 2.44 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.35 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.53 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 1.75 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.55 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.94 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 1.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.28 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 1.41 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.4 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.41 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 1.26 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 1.23 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.25 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 1.29 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.27 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.31 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.22 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.21 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.24 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.18 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.17 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.19 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 1.16 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.15 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.16 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 1.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.11 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.13 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near Italy
More education data for Italy
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 423,797 (2024)
- Repeaters in primary education, all grades, both sexes (number), gaps 6,592 (2023)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 667,641 (2023)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 620,157 (2023)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 4.61 million (2023)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 2.63 million (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate -0.167 % change on previous year (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.0445 units per person (2023)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Italy?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Italy was 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Italy?
- The highest recorded value was 2.53 births per woman in last 5 years in 1970.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Italy?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.1 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does Italy rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- Italy ranks 65th out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in Italy?
- Over the last ten years it is down 2.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Italy data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).