Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Nigeria
Nigeria: Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario was 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100. ◆ Volatile
Latest (2100)
0.925 births per woman in last 5 years
World rank
106th
of 200 countries
All-time high
6.85 births per woman in last 5 years
in 1980
All-time low
0.925 births per woman in last 5 years
in 2100
Years of data
30
1955–2100
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Nigeria, 1955–2100
Source: Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in births per woman in last 5 years.
Analysis
Nigeria recorded 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 30 years on record.
The figure is down 17.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Nigeria peaked at 6.85 births per woman in last 5 years in 1980 and was at its lowest, 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years, in 2100.
That places Nigeria 106th out of 200 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the middle of the range.
The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.
Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Nigeria, year by year
| Year | births per woman in last 5 years | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | 6.4 births per woman in last 5 years | — |
| 1960 | 6.39 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.1% |
| 1965 | 6.36 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.6% |
| 1970 | 6.4 births per woman in last 5 years | +0.7% |
| 1975 | 6.58 births per woman in last 5 years | +2.8% |
| 1980 | 6.85 births per woman in last 5 years | +4.1% |
| 1985 | 6.79 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.9% |
| 1990 | 6.53 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.7% |
| 1995 | 6.39 births per woman in last 5 years | -2.2% |
| 2000 | 6.16 births per woman in last 5 years | -3.7% |
| 2005 | 6.12 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.6% |
| 2010 | 6.07 births per woman in last 5 years | -0.8% |
| 2015 | 5.83 births per woman in last 5 years | -4.0% |
| 2020 | 5.51 births per woman in last 5 years | -5.4% |
| 2025 | 4.81 births per woman in last 5 years | -12.6% |
| 2030 | 4.16 births per woman in last 5 years | -13.5% |
| 2035 | 3.65 births per woman in last 5 years | -12.3% |
| 2040 | 3.2 births per woman in last 5 years | -12.4% |
| 2045 | 2.91 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.0% |
| 2050 | 2.62 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.8% |
| 2055 | 2.32 births per woman in last 5 years | -11.6% |
| 2060 | 2.04 births per woman in last 5 years | -12.2% |
| 2065 | 1.82 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.6% |
| 2070 | 1.64 births per woman in last 5 years | -10.2% |
| 2075 | 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.4% |
| 2080 | 1.35 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.8% |
| 2085 | 1.23 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.2% |
| 2090 | 1.12 births per woman in last 5 years | -8.3% |
| 2095 | 1.02 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.4% |
| 2100 | 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years | -9.2% |
Nigeria compared with similar countries
- Nigeria's 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 0.902 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.0× the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Nigeria's 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 0.87 births per woman in last 5 years, 1.1× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 6.4 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.4 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.4 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
| 1960s | 6.38 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.36 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1970s | 6.49 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.4 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.58 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1980s | 6.82 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.79 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.85 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 1990s | 6.46 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.39 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.53 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2000s | 6.14 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.16 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2010s | 5.95 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.83 births per woman in last 5 years | 6.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2020s | 5.16 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.81 births per woman in last 5 years | 5.51 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2030s | 3.91 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.65 births per woman in last 5 years | 4.16 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2040s | 3.05 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.91 births per woman in last 5 years | 3.2 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2050s | 2.47 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.32 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.62 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2060s | 1.93 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.82 births per woman in last 5 years | 2.04 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2070s | 1.56 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.48 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.64 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2080s | 1.29 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.23 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.35 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2090s | 1.07 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.02 births per woman in last 5 years | 1.12 births per woman in last 5 years | 2 |
| 2100s | 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years | 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years | 1 |
Countries ranked near Nigeria
- 105 Turkmenistan 0.926 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 106 Suriname 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 108 Colombia 0.922 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 109 Bangladesh 0.921 births per woman in last 5 years compare
- 109 Indonesia 0.921 births per woman in last 5 years compare
More education data for Nigeria
- Teachers in secondary education, both sexes (number), gaps filled 912,245 (2021)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, male (number), gaps filled 1.08 million (2023)
- Enrolment in pre-primary education, female (number), gaps filled 1.24 million (2023)
- Secondary education, pupils, gaps filled 15.20 million (2023)
- Primary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
- Primary education, pupils, gaps filled 33.42 million (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, annual growth rate 1.18 % change on previous year (2021)
- Primary education, pupils, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2023)
- Primary education, pupils, per capita 0.1466 units per person (2023)
- Secondary education, duration (years), annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Nigeria?
- Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario in Nigeria was 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100, according to Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Nigeria?
- The highest recorded value was 6.85 births per woman in last 5 years in 1980.
- What is the lowest projections of the fertility rate by education scenario recorded in Nigeria?
- The lowest recorded value was 0.925 births per woman in last 5 years in 2100.
- How does Nigeria rank for projections of the fertility rate by education scenario?
- Nigeria ranks 106th out of 200 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projections of the fertility rate by education scenario rising or falling in Nigeria?
- Over the last ten years it is down 17.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is volatile.
- Where does this Nigeria data come from?
- The figures come from Wittgenstein Centre (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Projections of the fertility rate by education scenario. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Average number of children born in the last 5-year period to the women of reproductive age (15-49).