Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years in South Africa

South Africa: Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years was 11.6 per 1,000 in 2024. ▼ Falling

Latest (2024)
11.6 per 1,000
Change on year
down 1.7%
World rank
27th
of 197 countries
All-time high
28.1 per 1,000
in 2003
All-time low
11.6 per 1,000
in 2024
Years of data
35
1990–2024

Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years in South Africa, 1990–2024

01020301990200720241990: 13.2 per 1,0001991: 14.1 per 1,0001992: 15.2 per 1,0001993: 16.4 per 1,0001994: 17.6 per 1,0001995: 18.9 per 1,0001996: 20.3 per 1,0001997: 21.8 per 1,0001998: 23.2 per 1,0001999: 24.6 per 1,0002000: 25.9 per 1,0002001: 26.9 per 1,0002002: 27.7 per 1,0002003: 28.1 per 1,0002004: 28.1 per 1,0002005: 27.6 per 1,0002006: 26.6 per 1,0002007: 25.3 per 1,0002008: 23.7 per 1,0002009: 22.1 per 1,0002010: 20.4 per 1,0002011: 18.9 per 1,0002012: 17.5 per 1,0002013: 16.4 per 1,0002014: 15.4 per 1,0002015: 14.6 per 1,0002016: 14 per 1,0002017: 13.4 per 1,0002018: 13 per 1,0002019: 12.6 per 1,0002020: 12.3 per 1,0002021: 12.1 per 1,0002022: 12 per 1,0002023: 11.8 per 1,0002024: 11.6 per 1,000

Source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF). Measured in per 1,000.

Analysis

The most recent figure for probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years in South Africa is 11.6 per 1,000, measured in 2024. That is the lowest value across all 35 years on record.

The figure is down 1.7% on the previous year and down 24.7% over ten years.

Over the whole period, probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years in South Africa peaked at 28.1 per 1,000 in 2003 and was at its lowest, 11.6 per 1,000, in 2024.

South Africa ranks 27th of 197 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 35 years of available data.

Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years in South Africa, year by year

Annual values for Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years (per 1,000) in South Africa, 1990 to 2024.
Year per 1,000 Change
1990 13.2 per 1,000
1991 14.1 per 1,000 +6.8%
1992 15.2 per 1,000 +7.8%
1993 16.4 per 1,000 +7.9%
1994 17.6 per 1,000 +7.3%
1995 18.9 per 1,000 +7.4%
1996 20.3 per 1,000 +7.4%
1997 21.8 per 1,000 +7.4%
1998 23.2 per 1,000 +6.4%
1999 24.6 per 1,000 +6.0%
2000 25.9 per 1,000 +5.3%
2001 26.9 per 1,000 +3.9%
2002 27.7 per 1,000 +3.0%
2003 28.1 per 1,000 +1.4%
2004 28.1 per 1,000 +0.0%
2005 27.6 per 1,000 -1.8%
2006 26.6 per 1,000 -3.6%
2007 25.3 per 1,000 -4.9%
2008 23.7 per 1,000 -6.3%
2009 22.1 per 1,000 -6.8%
2010 20.4 per 1,000 -7.7%
2011 18.9 per 1,000 -7.4%
2012 17.5 per 1,000 -7.4%
2013 16.4 per 1,000 -6.3%
2014 15.4 per 1,000 -6.1%
2015 14.6 per 1,000 -5.2%
2016 14 per 1,000 -4.1%
2017 13.4 per 1,000 -4.3%
2018 13 per 1,000 -3.0%
2019 12.6 per 1,000 -3.1%
2020 12.3 per 1,000 -2.4%
2021 12.1 per 1,000 -1.6%
2022 12 per 1,000 -0.8%
2023 11.8 per 1,000 -1.7%
2024 11.6 per 1,000 -1.7%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1990s 18.53 per 1,000 13.2 per 1,000 24.6 per 1,000 10
2000s 26.2 per 1,000 22.1 per 1,000 28.1 per 1,000 10
2010s 15.62 per 1,000 12.6 per 1,000 20.4 per 1,000 10
2020s 11.96 per 1,000 11.6 per 1,000 12.3 per 1,000 5

Countries ranked near South Africa

  1. 25 Mali 12.3 per 1,000 compare
  2. 26 Saint Lucia 11.9 per 1,000 compare
  3. 27 Eritrea 11.6 per 1,000 compare
  4. 29 Sao Tome and Principe 11.5 per 1,000 compare
  5. 30 Namibia 11.4 per 1,000 compare

See the full ranking of 244 places →

More education data for South Africa

All data for South Africa →

Frequently asked questions

What is probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years in South Africa?
Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years in South Africa was 11.6 per 1,000 in 2024, according to UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF).
What is the highest probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years recorded in South Africa?
The highest recorded value was 28.1 per 1,000 in 2003.
What is the lowest probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years recorded in South Africa?
The lowest recorded value was 11.6 per 1,000 in 2024.
How does South Africa rank for probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years?
South Africa ranks 27th out of 197 countries with data for 2024.
Is probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years rising or falling in South Africa?
Over the last ten years it is down 24.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this South Africa data come from?
The figures come from UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF), published as part of Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years (per 1,000). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years in South Africa. Statizoid, drawing on UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF). Retrieved 11 September 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/probability-of-dying-among-youth-ages-20-24-years-per-1-000/south-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years (per 1,000)
Unit
per 1,000
Source
UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, UN Children's Fund (UNICEF)
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (World Bank Open Data)
Coverage
244 places, 8,540 data points, 1990–2024
Last refreshed

Probability of dying between age 20-24 years of age expressed per 1,000 youths age 20, if subject to age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.