Survival rate to Grade 4 of primary education, both sexes (%) by country
Percentage of a cohort of students enrolled in the first grade of primary education in a given school year who are expected to reach grade 4, regardless of repetition. Divide the total number of students belonging to a school-cohort who reached each successive grade of primary education by the number of students in...
What the numbers show
Survival rate to Grade 4 of primary education, both sexes (%) is currently reported for 180 countries. The highest value is 100.0% in Japan; the lowest is 16.1% in Syrian Arab Republic.
The median across all reporting countries is 95.8%, and the mean is 89.7%.
The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 6.
Over the past decade 115 countries rose and 60 fell. The largest increase was in Chad (up 75.7%), and the largest decrease in Syrian Arab Republic (down 83.1%).
Survival rate to Grade 4 of primary education, both sexes: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan | 100.0% | 2016 | down 0.0% | flat |
| 2 | Türkiye | 100.0% | 2017 | up 4.5% | flat |
| 3 | Denmark | 99.9% | 2017 | up 0.3% | flat |
| 4 | Finland | 99.9% | 2017 | up 0.2% | flat |
| 5 | Switzerland | 99.9% | 2017 | — | flat |
| 6 | Spain | 99.9% | 2017 | up 0.0% | flat |
| 7 | Estonia | 99.8% | 2017 | up 1.1% | flat |
| 8 | Chile | 99.8% | 2017 | up 0.5% | rising |
| 9 | Sweden | 99.8% | 2017 | down 0.0% | flat |
| 10 | China | 99.8% | 2018 | — | rising |
| 11 | Italy | 99.8% | 2017 | up 0.1% | flat |
| 12 | Singapore | 99.8% | 2017 | up 0.4% | flat |
| 13 | Indonesia | 99.7% | 2017 | up 10.4% | rising |
| 14 | Egypt | 99.7% | 2018 | up 1.4% | rising |
| 15 | Poland | 99.7% | 2017 | up 1.5% | flat |
| 16 | Austria | 99.6% | 2017 | up 0.2% | rising |
| 17 | Czechia | 99.5% | 2017 | up 0.6% | flat |
| 18 | Iceland | 99.5% | 2017 | down 0.3% | flat |
| 19 | Norway | 99.5% | 2017 | up 0.3% | flat |
| 20 | Slovenia | 99.4% | 2017 | down 0.2% | flat |
| 21 | Republic of Korea | 99.4% | 2017 | up 0.3% | flat |
| 22 | Georgia | 99.4% | 2018 | up 3.2% | flat |
| 23 | Luxembourg | 99.4% | 2016 | up 0.8% | rising |
| 24 | Ecuador | 99.4% | 2017 | up 18.3% | rising |
| 25 | Macau, China | 99.3% | 2018 | up 0.1% | flat |
| 26 | Cyprus | 99.3% | 2017 | up 3.9% | flat |
| 27 | United Arab Emirates | 99.3% | 2014 | up 4.0% | rising |
| 28 | Israel | 99.2% | 2017 | down 0.1% | flat |
| 29 | Kazakhstan | 99.2% | 2018 | up 0.2% | rising |
| 30 | Sri Lanka | 99.1% | 2016 | down 0.4% | rising |
| 31 | Thailand | 99.1% | 2017 | — | rising |
| 32 | North Macedonia | 99.1% | 2017 | up 1.6% | flat |
| 33 | Malta | 99.1% | 2017 | up 2.5% | rising |
| 34 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 99.1% | 2014 | up 8.2% | rising |
| 35 | Tajikistan | 99.0% | 2016 | down 0.0% | flat |
| 36 | Hungary | 98.9% | 2017 | up 0.2% | flat |
| 37 | Iran, Islamic Republic of | 98.9% | 2016 | up 1.9% | rising |
| 38 | Oman | 98.8% | 2018 | up 2.5% | rising |
| 39 | Panama | 98.8% | 2016 | up 7.1% | rising |
| 40 | Serbia | 98.7% | 2018 | up 0.6% | flat |
| 41 | Ukraine | 98.7% | 2018 | up 1.0% | rising |
| 42 | Slovakia | 98.7% | 2017 | up 1.3% | flat |
| 43 | Hong Kong, China | 98.6% | 2018 | down 1.2% | flat |
| 44 | Greece | 98.6% | 2017 | up 0.9% | flat |
| 45 | France | 98.5% | 1999 | up 0.5% | rising |
| 46 | Eswatini | 98.5% | 2017 | up 17.0% | rising |
| 47 | Antigua and Barbuda | 98.5% | 2017 | up 3.1% | rising |
| 48 | San Marino | 98.5% | 2018 | up 5.2% | falling |
| 49 | Uzbekistan | 98.3% | 2018 | down 0.1% | flat |
| 50 | Andorra | 98.3% | 2018 | up 1.9% | flat |
| 51 | Belarus | 98.3% | 2017 | up 0.3% | rising |
| 52 | Kyrgyzstan | 98.3% | 2018 | up 2.1% | rising |
| 53 | Mongolia | 98.2% | 2017 | up 8.0% | rising |
| 54 | Mauritius | 98.2% | 2018 | up 0.0% | flat |
| 55 | Bahrain | 98.2% | 2018 | down 0.1% | rising |
| 56 | Tunisia | 98.1% | 2016 | down 0.3% | rising |
| 57 | Latvia | 98.1% | 2017 | up 1.2% | rising |
| 58 | Malaysia | 98.0% | 2016 | down 1.3% | flat |
| 59 | Liechtenstein | 98.0% | 2017 | up 18.1% | rising |
| 60 | Lithuania | 97.8% | 2017 | down 0.2% | flat |
| 61 | Seychelles | 97.8% | 2018 | up 0.7% | flat |
| 62 | Bolivia, Plurinational State of | 97.7% | 2017 | up 8.0% | rising |
| 63 | Brunei Darussalam | 97.6% | 2018 | down 2.0% | rising |
| 64 | Morocco | 97.6% | 2018 | up 10.0% | rising |
| 65 | Belgium | 97.5% | 2017 | up 4.8% | rising |
| 66 | Belize | 97.5% | 2017 | up 4.9% | rising |
| 67 | Maldives | 97.4% | 2018 | down 0.5% | flat |
| 68 | Viet Nam | 97.4% | 2014 | up 13.9% | rising |
| 69 | Jordan | 97.3% | 2018 | up 3.0% | rising |
| 70 | Argentina | 97.3% | 2016 | up 0.2% | rising |
| 71 | Mexico | 97.3% | 2017 | up 2.1% | rising |
| 72 | Russian Federation | 97.2% | 2015 | up 2.5% | flat |
| 73 | Sao Tome and Principe | 97.2% | 2016 | up 14.1% | rising |
| 74 | Cuba | 97.1% | 2018 | up 0.9% | rising |
| 75 | Jamaica | 97.1% | 2018 | up 8.7% | flat |
| 76 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 97.0% | 2017 | up 8.6% | rising |
| 77 | Croatia | 96.7% | 2017 | down 1.5% | flat |
| 78 | Aruba | 96.7% | 2013 | up 1.1% | flat |
| 79 | Guyana | 96.6% | 2011 | up 12.3% | flat |
| 80 | Samoa | 96.6% | 2018 | up 5.7% | flat |
| 81 | Germany | 96.5% | 2012 | down 2.0% | flat |
| 82 | Philippines | 96.5% | 2016 | up 21.0% | rising |
| 83 | Bulgaria | 96.4% | 2017 | up 2.8% | flat |
| 84 | Dominican Republic | 96.2% | 2018 | up 12.6% | rising |
| 85 | Timor-Leste | 96.1% | 2018 | up 14.6% | rising |
| 86 | Peru | 96.1% | 2016 | up 1.7% | rising |
| 87 | Costa Rica | 96.1% | 2016 | up 4.8% | rising |
| 88 | Armenia | 96.0% | 2018 | up 0.9% | falling |
| 89 | Romania | 96.0% | 2016 | up 2.4% | flat |
| 90 | Palestine, State of | 95.9% | 2018 | down 2.0% | flat |
| 91 | Barbados | 95.8% | 2010 | down 2.1% | flat |
| 92 | Azerbaijan | 95.8% | 2018 | down 2.7% | rising |
| 93 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 95.6% | 2018 | down 3.2% | flat |
| 94 | New Caledonia | 95.5% | 1989 | up 3.7% | rising |
| 95 | Kenya | 95.5% | 2014 | up 13.3% | rising |
| 96 | Cape Verde | 95.1% | 2015 | down 0.4% | rising |
| 97 | Algeria | 94.9% | 2018 | down 3.8% | rising |
| 98 | Namibia | 94.9% | 2017 | up 1.9% | rising |
| 99 | Saint Lucia | 94.7% | 2018 | down 0.2% | flat |
| 100 | Suriname | 94.7% | 2018 | down 1.6% | rising |
| 101 | Netherlands | 94.7% | 1984 | down 2.9% | flat |
| 102 | South Africa | 94.5% | 2017 | up 11.8% | rising |
| 103 | Botswana | 94.5% | 2013 | up 4.2% | flat |
| 104 | Kiribati | 94.0% | 2015 | up 10.4% | falling |
| 105 | Fiji | 93.9% | 2015 | down 2.7% | flat |
| 106 | Republic of Moldova | 93.8% | 2018 | down 1.4% | flat |
| 107 | Colombia | 93.8% | 2017 | up 9.5% | rising |
| 108 | Qatar | 93.0% | 2018 | down 3.4% | flat |
| 109 | Djibouti | 92.8% | 2019 | up 7.1% | rising |
| 110 | Uruguay | 92.7% | 2016 | down 2.9% | flat |
| 111 | Trinidad and Tobago | 92.7% | 2009 | down 3.0% | rising |
| 112 | Tanzania, United Republic of | 92.3% | 2018 | up 5.9% | rising |
| 113 | Ghana | 92.0% | 2017 | up 9.0% | rising |
| 114 | Tonga | 91.7% | 2005 | up 0.2% | falling |
| 115 | Honduras | 91.6% | 2016 | up 6.1% | rising |
| 116 | Albania | 91.4% | 2018 | down 2.5% | rising |
| 117 | Grenada | 91.3% | 2017 | up 3.0% | flat |
| 118 | Kuwait | 91.2% | 2018 | down 6.9% | rising |
| 119 | Lebanon | 90.8% | 2018 | down 6.6% | flat |
| 120 | Paraguay | 90.4% | 2011 | up 5.1% | rising |
| 121 | Bhutan | 90.0% | 2017 | down 4.5% | rising |
| 122 | Libya | 89.9% | 1980 | down 4.6% | falling |
| 123 | India | 89.8% | 2018 | up 6.6% | rising |
| 124 | Gambia | 89.4% | 2018 | up 15.0% | flat |
| 125 | El Salvador | 89.3% | 2017 | up 6.8% | rising |
| 126 | Bermuda | 89.2% | 2012 | down 9.0% | flat |
| 127 | Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of | 88.6% | 2016 | down 9.9% | rising |
| 128 | Sudan | 88.4% | 2016 | up 4.7% | flat |
| 129 | Cambodia | 88.3% | 2018 | up 26.2% | rising |
| 130 | Eritrea | 87.8% | 2017 | up 9.3% | flat |
| 131 | Montenegro | 87.3% | 2018 | down 9.9% | flat |
| 132 | Lesotho | 87.2% | 2015 | up 7.9% | rising |
| 133 | Lao People's Democratic Republic | 86.9% | 2018 | up 18.3% | rising |
| 134 | Cayman Islands | 86.2% | 2012 | down 8.5% | rising |
| 135 | Chad | 86.2% | 2017 | up 75.7% | rising |
| 136 | Afghanistan | 85.6% | 1984 | up 18.1% | rising |
| 137 | Zimbabwe | 85.1% | 2012 | up 20.2% | flat |
| 138 | Congo | 84.7% | 2007 | up 22.2% | falling |
| 139 | Guatemala | 83.5% | 2018 | down 5.0% | rising |
| 140 | Rwanda | 83.0% | 2018 | up 48.2% | flat |
| 141 | Vanuatu | 82.6% | 2008 | up 6.8% | rising |
| 142 | Zambia | 82.3% | 2012 | down 14.0% | falling |
| 143 | Gabon | 82.1% | 2002 | up 27.9% | rising |
| 144 | Dominica | 81.8% | 2015 | down 9.4% | flat |
| 145 | Saudi Arabia | 81.7% | 2016 | down 13.4% | falling |
| 146 | Cameroon | 81.5% | 2018 | up 1.9% | rising |
| 147 | Mauritania | 81.2% | 2016 | up 7.7% | falling |
| 148 | Yemen | 81.1% | 2012 | up 0.1% | flat |
| 149 | Comoros | 81.0% | 2013 | up 15.5% | rising |
| 150 | Brazil | 80.6% | 2003 | up 8.9% | rising |
| 151 | Myanmar | 80.5% | 2009 | up 24.8% | rising |
| 152 | Niger | 80.1% | 2015 | up 4.1% | flat |
| 153 | Nigeria | 79.0% | 2009 | down 15.5% | falling |
| 154 | Malawi | 77.4% | 2018 | up 30.1% | rising |
| 155 | Bahamas | 76.1% | 2015 | down 12.3% | flat |
| 156 | Solomon Islands | 76.1% | 2017 | down 14.0% | flat |
| 157 | Senegal | 76.1% | 2014 | up 1.0% | falling |
| 158 | Iraq | 75.8% | 1999 | down 8.3% | flat |
| 159 | Côte d'Ivoire | 75.4% | 2018 | up 1.7% | falling |
| 160 | Nepal | 74.0% | 2016 | up 11.2% | rising |
| 161 | Burkina Faso | 73.6% | 2018 | down 13.7% | rising |
| 162 | Papua New Guinea | 72.9% | 1997 | up 0.0% | flat |
| 163 | Pakistan | 72.8% | 2018 | up 4.0% | rising |
| 164 | Bangladesh | 72.4% | 2009 | — | rising |
| 165 | Guinea | 72.3% | 2013 | down 17.5% | rising |
| 166 | Uganda | 68.9% | 2016 | up 6.2% | falling |
| 167 | Mozambique | 68.0% | 2018 | up 6.0% | rising |
| 168 | Central African Republic | 66.8% | 2011 | — | rising |
| 169 | Togo | 65.1% | 2013 | down 19.6% | rising |
| 170 | Mali | 64.9% | 2012 | down 20.5% | rising |
| 171 | Nicaragua | 61.8% | 2007 | up 4.8% | rising |
| 172 | Congo, Democratic Republic of the | 61.6% | 2014 | down 21.3% | rising |
| 173 | Burundi | 60.0% | 2018 | down 18.8% | falling |
| 174 | Benin | 53.6% | 2018 | down 20.8% | rising |
| 175 | Ethiopia | 50.6% | 2014 | down 31.0% | rising |
| 176 | Guinea-Bissau | 42.4% | 1987 | up 40.4% | rising |
| 177 | Madagascar | 42.3% | 2018 | down 29.7% | rising |
| 178 | Haiti | 39.7% | 1985 | down 3.7% | falling |
| 179 | Sierra Leone | 37.5% | 2017 | down 44.1% | falling |
| 180 | Syrian Arab Republic | 16.1% | 2012 | down 83.1% | falling |
About this data
Percentage of a cohort of students enrolled in the first grade of primary education in a given school year who are expected to reach grade 4, regardless of repetition. Divide the total number of students belonging to a school-cohort who reached each successive grade of primary education by the number of students in the school-cohort i.e. those originally enrolled in the first grade of primary education, and multiply the result by 100. The survival rate is calculated on the basis of the reconstructed cohort method, which uses data on enrolment and repeaters for two consecutive years.