Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in South Africa

South Africa: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education was 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040. ▼ Falling

Latest (2040)
4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
World rank
89th
of 160 countries
All-time high
25.21 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2000
All-time low
4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
in 2040
Years of data
32
2000–2040

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in South Africa, 2000–2040

5101520252000202020402000: 25.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2001: 24.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2002: 23.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2003: 22.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2004: 22 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2005: 21.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2006: 20.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2007: 20.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2008: 19.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2009: 18.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2010: 18.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2011: 17.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2012: 17 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2013: 16.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2014: 15.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2015: 15 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2016: 14.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2017: 13.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2018: 13.2 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2019: 12.6 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2020: 12.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2021: 11.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2022: 10.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2023: 10.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2024: 9.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2025: 9.3 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2026: 8.9 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2027: 8.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2028: 8.1 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2029: 7.7 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2030: 7.4 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over2040: 4.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Percentage of population aged 15 years or over.

Analysis

South Africa recorded 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in 2040. That is the lowest value across all 32 years on record.

That represents a change of down 39.5% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in South Africa peaked at 25.21 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000 and was at its lowest, 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over, in 2040.

South Africa ranks 89th of 160 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 32 years of available data.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in South Africa, year by year

Annual values for Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario) in South Africa, 2000 to 2040.
Year Percentage of population aged 15 years or over Change
2000 25.21 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
2001 24.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2002 23.59 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2003 22.8 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.3%
2004 22.03 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.4%
2005 21.28 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.4%
2006 20.68 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.8%
2007 20.09 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.8%
2008 19.52 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.9%
2009 18.95 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.9%
2010 18.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -2.9%
2011 17.69 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.8%
2012 17 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -3.9%
2013 16.32 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.0%
2014 15.66 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.1%
2015 15.01 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.1%
2016 14.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.1%
2017 13.79 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.2%
2018 13.21 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.2%
2019 12.64 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.3%
2020 12.09 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.4%
2021 11.5 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.9%
2022 10.92 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -5.0%
2023 10.38 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -5.0%
2024 9.85 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -5.1%
2025 9.34 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -5.1%
2026 8.92 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.5%
2027 8.51 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.6%
2028 8.12 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.6%
2029 7.75 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.6%
2030 7.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -4.7%
2040 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over -39.5%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 21.85 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 18.95 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 25.21 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2010s 15.41 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 12.64 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 18.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2020s 9.74 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 7.75 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 12.09 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 10
2030s 7.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 7.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 7.39 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1
2040s 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over 1

Countries ranked near South Africa

  1. 86 Singapore 5.03 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  2. 87 Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of 4.85 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  3. 88 Argentina 4.71 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  4. 90 Botswana 4.28 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  5. 91 Seychelles 4.11 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare
  6. 92 North Macedonia 3.99 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over compare

See the full ranking of 235 places →

More education data for South Africa

All data for South Africa →

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in South Africa?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education in South Africa was 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in South Africa?
The highest recorded value was 25.21 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2000.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education recorded in South Africa?
The lowest recorded value was 4.47 Percentage of population aged 15 years or over in 2040.
How does South Africa rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education?
South Africa ranks 89th out of 160 countries with data for 2040.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 38 - projected education rising or falling in South Africa?
Over the last ten years it is down 39.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this South Africa data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education in South Africa. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 24 August 2026, from https://education.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-38-projected-education-profiles-population-with/south-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 38 - Projected education profiles — Population with less than primary education (medium scenario)
Unit
Percentage of population aged 15 years or over
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
235 places, 7,228 data points, 2000–2040
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 38 shows the projected population in 2040 with different education levels, according to the medium and accelerated scenario as calculated by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital in 2018.